Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / NYM · 2026

Myers, Tobias

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
20.6% K%
Range
17.5% to 25.8%
Live Δ
yes
Team NYM Archetype Offspeed mix artist Age 28 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
31
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
30
Arsenal4 metrics
53
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason3.90
ERA current pace6.26
ERA rolling p505.01
Observed weight47%
ERA
4.11 4.53 5.01 5.49 5.92
FIP
4.20 4.44 4.71 4.98 5.22
K%
16.8% 18.1% 19.5% 20.9% 22.2%
BB%
5.5% 6.2% 7.1% 8.0% 8.7%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.43
31
ERA6.26
9
BB%7.5%
68
K%17.8%
17 -19 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.332
31
Barrel allowed5.8%
79 +41 vs proj
Fastball velo92.6
24
Hard-hit allowed46.2%
9
Whiff%16.7%
7
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-07-18
Fastball Stuff+110
94
Mithrandir Stuff+106
80
Cutter Stuff+99
25
Slider Stuff+96
13
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 48%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Myers, Tobias · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.332 2026-07-07: 0.3122026-07-08: 0.3122026-07-09: 0.3122026-07-10: 0.3242026-07-11: 0.3242026-07-12: 0.3242026-07-13: 0.3322026-07-14: 0.3322026-07-15: 0.3322026-07-16: 0.3322026-07-17: 0.3322026-07-18: 0.332 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Myers, Tobias · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 17%17%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 46%46%Hard hit allowed: 46%46% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Myers, Tobias · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 47.8%Split-Finger: 22.9%Slider: 16.6%Cutter: 11.3%Sweeper: 1.3% FF48% · 93 mphprimary pitch FF 48%FS 23%SL 17%FC 11%ST 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Myers, Tobias · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 48% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 92.6 mphFF93 mphSplit-Finger: 23% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 80.2 mphFS80 mphSlider: 17% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 40″ drop, 82.1 mphSL82 mphCutter: 11% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 86.9 mphFC87 mphSweeper: 1% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 45″ drop, 79.6 mphST80 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 64.9% 270 110 qualified
SL 18.8% 78 96 limited sample
FC 16.3% 68 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 45%, Cutter 20%, Slider 17%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+1.80
K% Δ-0.027
Sample48.3 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings72.5----
Batters Faced315----
K%20.6%17.5% to 25.8%+/- 4.1%
BB%7.2%4.9% to 9.5%+/- 2.3%
Whiff%19.3%17.3% to 24.5%+/- 3.6%
HR/91.320.89 to 2.04+/- 0.58
xwOBA Against0.3340.292 to 0.360+/- 0.034
Barrel% Allowed8.5%5.7% to 11.1%+/- 2.7%
ERA4.462.61 to 5.16+/- 1.28
FIP4.193.37 to 4.80+/- 0.72
WHIP1.3301.096 to 1.593+/- 0.248
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

402 career BF

xwOBA0.314
K%18.3%
BB%7.6%
Barrel6.8%
vs RHH

456 career BF

xwOBA0.306
K%20.9%
BB%5.4%
Barrel8.5%