Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2022-05-03 |
Player profile / Syracuse Mets
MJ Melendez
DH · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 190 lb · Age 27
Club Syracuse Mets
Position DH
Roster Reassigned to Minors
Status Out / inactive
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 451 | 44 | 85 | 17 | 4 | .206 | .273 | .400 | .673 |
| 2025 | 65 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .083 | .154 | .167 | .321 |
| 2026 | 144 | 14 | 23 | 4 | 0 | .192 | .315 | .350 | .665 |
| 5 Seasons | 1796 | 185 | 338 | 56 | 12 | .213 | .298 | .385 | .683 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
59
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.294 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.281 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.288 |
| Observed weight | 40% |
xwOBA
0.248
0.267
0.288
0.310
0.329
wOBA
0.253
0.276
0.302
0.327
0.351
ISO
0.117
0.141
0.168
0.194
0.218
K%
25.8%
28.2%
30.7%
33.3%
35.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.5%
56
-16 vs proj
Exit velocity93.6
97
Hard-hit%55.6%
98
xBA0.285
18
xSLG0.543
62
xwOBA0.281
24
-25 vs proj
BB%11.7%
82
+33 vs proj
Bat speed72.2
81
K%34.5%
5
-17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
46
Arm Runs1.5 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs-0.3 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.2 · DH
44
SB Success Rate0.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7% · rebadged research
56
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.0% · rebadged research
71
Correct Decisions67.8% · rebadged research
66
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · borderline
30
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · insufficient sample
86
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
39
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.344 · insufficient sample
22
Resists FastballwOBA 0.313 · validated
91
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
48
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
66
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
56 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.026 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.005 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Melendez’s wOBA sits at 0.302, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.281 — a gap of 0.021, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 145 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.307 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-17 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-15 @ LAD0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 2B, 2 K, RBI |