Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Jeremiah Estrada

P · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 1", 185 lb · Age 27

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status IL-15
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024632.95620161.0941.07
2025453.45770373.01081.16
2026223.48210120.2231.11
5 Seasons12103.4717705171.02461.20
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-15
64
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
68
Arsenal3 metrics
50
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-15
ERA preseason3.84
ERA current pace3.48
ERA rolling p503.74
Observed weight28%
ERA
1.91 2.78 3.74 4.70 5.56
FIP
2.39 2.84 3.35 3.85 4.30
K%
27.7% 30.5% 33.7% 36.8% 39.7%
BB%
6.8% 8.3% 10.1% 11.9% 13.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-15
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.07
81
ERA3.48
59
BB%11.8%
19 -18 vs proj
K%31.2%
94
xwOBA allowed0.295
68
Barrel allowed7.5%
50 +17 vs proj
Fastball velo95.8
73
Hard-hit allowed35.8%
71
Whiff%32.0%
95
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-15
Fastball Stuff+107
85
Mithrandir Stuff+103
61
Slider Stuff+92
4
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Estrada, Jeremiah · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.295 2026-06-04: 0.2952026-06-05: 0.2952026-06-06: 0.2952026-06-07: 0.2952026-06-08: 0.2952026-06-09: 0.2952026-06-10: 0.2952026-06-11: 0.2952026-06-12: 0.2952026-06-13: 0.2952026-06-14: 0.2952026-06-15: 0.295 2026-06-04 2026-06-15 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 56%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Estrada, Jeremiah · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 31%31%Zone: 41%41%Whiff: 32%32%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Estrada, Jeremiah · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 55.8%Split-Finger: 32.7%Slider: 11.5% FF56% · 96 mphprimary pitch FF 56%FS 33%SL 12% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Estrada, Jeremiah · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 56% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 10″ drop, 95.8 mphFF96 mphSplit-Finger: 33% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 82.1 mphFS82 mphSlider: 12% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 86.1 mphSL86 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 85.1% 165 107 limited sample
SL 14.9% 29 92 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 1"
Weight185 lb
Debut2022-08-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.23
K% Δ-0.007
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202631.9% K | 3.25 ERAProjection
2026-04-09 vs COL0 ER / 1 K1.1 IP
2026-04-08 @ PIT0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-05 @ BOS0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-04 @ BOS0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-01 vs SF0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP