Mithrandir Metrics
Player Athletics Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Athletics

J.t. Ginn

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 200 lb · Age 27

Cards
17
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Athletics Position P Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024114.2486034.0291.32
2025475.082316090.1991.36
2026763.6721180103.0931.25
3 Seasons12144.3252400227.12211.31
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
47
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
52
Arsenal6 metrics
27
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
ERA preseason3.91
ERA current pace3.67
ERA rolling p503.75
Observed weight65%
ERA
2.40 3.04 3.75 4.46 5.11
FIP
3.67 3.97 4.30 4.63 4.92
K%
19.7% 20.8% 22.1% 23.4% 24.6%
BB%
7.7% 8.4% 9.3% 10.1% 10.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.32
51
ERA3.67
57
BB%10.1%
33 -34 vs proj
K%21.3%
41
xwOBA allowed0.313
51
Barrel allowed7.0%
60 +18 vs proj
Fastball velo93.6
35
Hard-hit allowed36.0%
68
Whiff%25.2%
67
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-17
Changeup Stuff+101
44
Cutter Stuff+95
6
Mithrandir Stuff+99
28
Sinker Stuff+101
37
Slider Stuff+101
41
Fastball Stuff+94
9
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Ginn, J.t. · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.313 2026-07-06: 0.3122026-07-07: 0.3122026-07-08: 0.3122026-07-09: 0.3102026-07-10: 0.3122026-07-11: 0.3122026-07-12: 0.3122026-07-13: 0.3122026-07-14: 0.3132026-07-15: 0.3132026-07-16: 0.3132026-07-17: 0.313 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 35%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Ginn, J.t. · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 43%43%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 45%45%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Ginn, J.t. · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 35.1%Changeup: 19.7%Cutter: 18.4%Slider: 15.4%4-Seam Fastball: 11.4% SI35% · 94 mphprimary pitch SI 35%CH 20%FC 18%SL 15%FF 11% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Ginn, J.t. · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 35% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 93.5 mphSI94 mphChangeup: 20% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 87.8 mphCH88 mphCutter: 18% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 90.3 mphFC90 mphSlider: 15% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 85.5 mphSL86 mph4-Seam Fastball: 11% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 93.6 mphFF94 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 35.6% 470 101 qualified
CH 18.3% 242 101 qualified
FC 17.7% 234 95 qualified
SL 16.9% 223 101 qualified
FB 11.6% 153 94 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 2"
Weight200 lb
Debut2024-08-21
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.31
K% Δ-0.012

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.9σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.337
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.313

Ginn’s wOBA-against sits at 0.337, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.313 — a gap of 0.024, 0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 105 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching172026-07-12Command and chase profile drove the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.5% K | 3.98 ERAProjection