Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Samad Taylor

LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 8", 160 lb · Age 28

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position LF Roster Injured 10-Day Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202452200.400.400.400.800
202591100.125.125.125.250
2026102142916.330.410.398.808
4 Seasons1852844114.273.348.335.683
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
41
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
38
Defense3 metrics
46
Speed3 metrics
61
Plate skills10 metrics
58
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.261
xwOBA current pace0.326
xwOBA rolling p500.282
Observed weight32%
xwOBA
0.230 0.255 0.282 0.310 0.335
wOBA
0.323 0.352 0.385 0.417 0.446
ISO
0.035 0.066 0.099 0.133 0.163
K%
18.9% 22.9% 27.3% 31.7% 35.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.9%
12
Exit velocity78.0
1
Hard-hit%24.6%
7
xBA0.429
100
xSLG0.532
57
xwOBA0.326
68 +57 vs proj
BB%11.5%
81 +52 vs proj
Bat speed60.9
0
K%29.8%
16 -25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.2 · LF
87
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
22
Range Runs-1.5 · LF
29
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts2.0 · LF
33
SB Success Rate83.3% · LF
57
Sprint Speed29.2 · LF
93
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.5% · rebadged research
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.7% · rebadged research
92
Correct Decisions69.0% · rebadged research
78
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
41
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
44
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · insufficient sample
35
Resists FastballwOBA 0.354 · validated
22
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367 · validated
29
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline114
96
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Taylor, Samad · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.326 2026-07-07: 0.3282026-07-08: 0.3252026-07-09: 0.3262026-07-10: 0.3262026-07-11: 0.3262026-07-12: 0.3262026-07-13: 0.3262026-07-14: 0.3262026-07-15: 0.3262026-07-16: 0.3262026-07-17: 0.3262026-07-18: 0.326 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

18 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Taylor, Samad · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsPull 11%Center field third: 67% of plotted batted ballsCenter 67%Right field third: 22% of plotted batted ballsOppo 22% LF 334 CF 396 RF 322 2026-03-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -3.02026-06-07 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.1 / LA 0.02026-06-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.4 / LA 22.02026-06-20 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 32.7 / LA -78.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA -2.02026-06-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 44.4 / LA -73.02026-06-22 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 32.02026-06-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA -5.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 22.3 / LA -27.02026-06-24 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 64.5 / LA 24.02026-06-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 27.8 / LA -54.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 76.4 / LA 42.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 15.5 / LA -3.02026-06-30 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 86.1 / LA 20.02026-06-30 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 73.3 / LA 22.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 61.02026-07-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 3.02026-07-01 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 26.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Taylor, Samad · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 92%92%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 25%25% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height5' 8"
Weight160 lb
Debut2023-06-17
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.064
wOBA Δ+0.122

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.5σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.385
xwOBA (deserved)0.326

Taylor’s wOBA sits at 0.385, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.326 — a gap of 0.058, -1.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 104 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

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Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.262 xwOBA | 5 HRProjection