Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / SD · 2026

Taylor, Samad

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.262 xwOBA
Range
0.162 to 0.306
Live Δ
yes
Team SD Archetype Ground-ball contact Age 28 Status IL-10
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
41
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
38
Defense3 metrics
46
Speed3 metrics
61
Plate skills10 metrics
58
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.261
xwOBA current pace0.326
xwOBA rolling p500.282
Observed weight32%
xwOBA
0.230 0.255 0.282 0.310 0.335
wOBA
0.323 0.352 0.385 0.417 0.446
ISO
0.035 0.066 0.099 0.133 0.163
K%
18.9% 22.9% 27.3% 31.7% 35.7%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.9%
12
Exit velocity78.0
1
Hard-hit%24.6%
7
xBA0.429
100
xSLG0.532
57
xwOBA0.326
68 +57 vs proj
BB%11.5%
81 +52 vs proj
Bat speed60.9
0
K%29.8%
16 -25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.2 · LF
87
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
22
Range Runs-1.5 · LF
29
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts2.0 · LF
33
SB Success Rate83.3% · LF
57
Sprint Speed29.2 · LF
93
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.5% · rebadged research
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.7% · rebadged research
92
Correct Decisions69.0% · rebadged research
78
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
41
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
44
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · insufficient sample
35
Resists FastballwOBA 0.354 · validated
22
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367 · validated
29
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline114
96
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Taylor, Samad · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.326 2026-07-07: 0.3282026-07-08: 0.3252026-07-09: 0.3262026-07-10: 0.3262026-07-11: 0.3262026-07-12: 0.3262026-07-13: 0.3262026-07-14: 0.3262026-07-15: 0.3262026-07-16: 0.3262026-07-17: 0.3262026-07-18: 0.326 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

18 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Taylor, Samad · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsPull 11%Center field third: 67% of plotted batted ballsCenter 67%Right field third: 22% of plotted batted ballsOppo 22% LF 334 CF 396 RF 322 2026-03-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -3.02026-06-07 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.1 / LA 0.02026-06-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.4 / LA 22.02026-06-20 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 32.7 / LA -78.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA -2.02026-06-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 44.4 / LA -73.02026-06-22 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 32.02026-06-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA -5.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 22.3 / LA -27.02026-06-24 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 64.5 / LA 24.02026-06-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 27.8 / LA -54.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 76.4 / LA 42.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 15.5 / LA -3.02026-06-30 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 86.1 / LA 20.02026-06-30 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 73.3 / LA 22.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 61.02026-07-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 3.02026-07-01 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 26.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Taylor, Samad · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 92%92%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 25%25% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.064
wOBA Δ+0.122
Sample104 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances208----
Home Runs5----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2620.162 to 0.306+/- 0.072
ISO0.0810.034 to 0.220+/- 0.093
Barrel%3.2%0.8% to 6.2%+/- 2.7%
Hard-Hit%27.0%14.8% to 42.2%+/- 13.7%
K%24.0%12.3% to 36.4%+/- 12.1%
BB%6.8%2.2% to 11.5%+/- 4.6%
BABIP0.2990.149 to 0.358+/- 0.104
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

48 career PA

xwOBA0.055
K%5.6%
BB%2.3%
Barrel1.3%
vs RHP

60 career PA

xwOBA0.052
K%5.9%
BB%2.3%
Barrel1.1%