Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 7" |
| Weight | 166 lb |
| Debut | 2022-04-19 |
Player profile / Houston Astros
Nick Allen
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 7", 166 lb · Age 27
Club Houston Astros
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 105 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 0 | .175 | .216 | .247 | .463 |
| 2025 | 416 | 32 | 82 | 0 | 8 | .221 | .284 | .251 | .535 |
| 2026 | 147 | 22 | 36 | 2 | 2 | .275 | .319 | .359 | .678 |
| 5 Seasons | 1323 | 120 | 264 | 11 | 18 | .220 | .271 | .281 | .552 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
10
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.265 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.252 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.259 |
| Observed weight | 42% |
xwOBA
0.223
0.240
0.259
0.278
0.295
wOBA
0.298
0.321
0.346
0.372
0.395
ISO
0.052
0.071
0.092
0.113
0.132
K%
18.8%
20.2%
21.8%
23.4%
24.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.3%
5
Exit velocity82.4
7
Hard-hit%27.8%
10
xBA0.292
22
xSLG0.364
6
xwOBA0.252
11
BB%6.4%
26
Bat speed65.2
8
K%19.7%
68
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
62
Arm Strength87.7 · SS
55
Outs Above Avg3.0 · SS
84
Range Runs-0.8 · SS
46
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.9 · SS
35
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.3% · rebadged research
75
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7% · rebadged research
35
Correct Decisions69.0% · rebadged research
78
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
38
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
84
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
47
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.346 · insufficient sample
16
Resists FastballwOBA 0.337 · validated
53
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350 · validated
68
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
65
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
73 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.009 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.085 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Allen’s wOBA sits at 0.346, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.252 — a gap of 0.095, -2.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 157 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 10 | 2026-08-30 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.261 xwOBA | 5 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-17 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-15 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | 2B, K |
| 2026-04-13 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-12 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-11 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |