Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 172 lb |
| Debut | 2022-05-30 |
Player profile / Round Rock Express
Josh Smith
2B · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 9", 172 lb · Age 28
Club Round Rock Express
Position 2B
Roster Reassigned to Minors
Status Out / inactive
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 592 | 67 | 135 | 13 | 11 | .258 | .337 | .394 | .731 |
| 2025 | 563 | 70 | 124 | 10 | 12 | .251 | .335 | .366 | .701 |
| 2026 | 138 | 8 | 28 | 1 | 2 | .230 | .312 | .295 | .607 |
| 5 Seasons | 1778 | 197 | 365 | 32 | 30 | .236 | .326 | .349 | .675 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
21
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.313 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.280 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.299 |
| Observed weight | 42% |
xwOBA
0.274
0.286
0.299
0.313
0.325
wOBA
0.273
0.296
0.321
0.346
0.368
ISO
0.083
0.098
0.115
0.133
0.148
K%
17.3%
18.8%
20.4%
22.1%
23.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.8%
30
Exit velocity85.8
24
Hard-hit%32.4%
23
xBA0.272
10
xSLG0.415
16
xwOBA0.280
24
-35 vs proj
BB%10.8%
74
+21 vs proj
Bat speed66.2
12
K%19.6%
67
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 2B
63
Arm Strength79.5 · 2B
6
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
43
Range Runs-2.0 · 2B
29
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.8 · 2B
61
SB Success Rate66.7% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.1% · rebadged research
53
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.4% · rebadged research
47
Correct Decisions67.0% · rebadged research
59
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.280 · borderline
70
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.289 · insufficient sample
22
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.267 · validated thin sample
86
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.348 · insufficient sample
17
Resists FastballwOBA 0.308 · validated
93
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
60
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
51
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
89 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.034 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.006 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Smith’s wOBA sits at 0.321, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.280 — a gap of 0.040, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 158 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-04-17 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | HBP, 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-14 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-13 @ ATH0 HR | 2 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, 2 RBI, R |
| 2026-04-12 @ LAD0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | K, RBI, CS |