Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / CLE
Gabriel Arias
Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 217 lb · Age 26
Club CLE
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 161 | 15 | 34 | 3 | 5 | .222 | .255 | .353 | .608 |
| 2025 | 471 | 44 | 95 | 11 | 8 | .220 | .274 | .363 | .637 |
| 2026 | 149 | 14 | 34 | 5 | 4 | .243 | .282 | .371 | .653 |
| 5 Seasons | 1183 | 118 | 238 | 30 | 21 | .219 | .275 | .358 | .633 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
68
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
48
Exit velocity89.9
76
Hard-hit%43.0%
73
xBA0.388
97
xSLG0.653
90
xwOBA0.272
20
BB%6.5%
27
Bat speed72.8
88
K%37.6%
2
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength92.3 · 3B
84
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
47
Range Runs1.6 · 3B
72
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.8 · 3B
32
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.6% · rebadged research
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.4% · rebadged research
46
Correct Decisions64.2% · rebadged research
28
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.268 · borderline
88
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.298 · insufficient sample
14
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
83
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
45
Resists FastballwOBA 0.301 · validated
96
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated
74
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
27
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
52 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Arias’s wOBA sits at 0.347, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.272 — a gap of 0.075, -2.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 170 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-07-02 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 9 | 2026-09-11 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.269 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.284 xwOBA | 13 HR | Projection |