Mithrandir Metrics
Player Milwaukee Brewers Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Milwaukee Brewers

Shane Drohan

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 202 lb · Age 27

Cards
12
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Milwaukee Brewers Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2026753.7527161110.11101.30
1 Seasons753.7527161110.11101.30
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
59
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
56
Arsenal7 metrics
55
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-01
ERA preseason3.03
ERA current pace3.85
ERA rolling p503.58
Observed weight67%
ERA
2.03 2.76 3.58 4.39 5.13
FIP
1.72 2.64 3.67 4.69 5.62
K%
18.4% 20.1% 21.9% 23.7% 25.4%
BB%
6.3% 7.2% 8.1% 9.0% 9.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.35
47
ERA3.85
55
BB%8.1%
62 +20 vs proj
K%23.8%
61 +24 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.294
72
Barrel allowed8.1%
42
Fastball velo94.8
56
Hard-hit allowed37.9%
54
Whiff%23.9%
58
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-01
Fastball Stuff+104
59
Mithrandir Stuff+103
62
Sinker Stuff+103
58
Slider Stuff+104
72
Changeup Stuff+88
2
Curveball Stuff+103
62
Cutter Stuff+103
67
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Drohan, Shane · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.294 2026-08-21: 0.2932026-08-22: 0.2932026-08-23: 0.2932026-08-24: 0.2932026-08-25: 0.2942026-08-26: 0.2942026-08-27: 0.2942026-08-28: 0.2942026-08-29: 0.2942026-08-30: 0.2942026-08-31: 0.2942026-09-01: 0.294 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 28%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Drohan, Shane · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Drohan, Shane · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 28.3%Slider: 20.5%Sinker: 20.0%Curveball: 13.2%Cutter: 12.2%Changeup: 5.8% FF28% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 28%SL 21%SI 20%CU 13%FC 12%CH 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Drohan, Shane · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 28% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 94.9 mphFF95 mphSlider: 21% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 86.2 mphSL86 mphSinker: 20% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 94.7 mphSI95 mphCurveball: 13% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 51″ drop, 80.5 mphCU80 mphCutter: 12% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 90.8 mphFC91 mphChangeup: 6% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 85.7 mphCH86 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 28.7% 359 104 qualified
SL 20.3% 254 104 qualified
SI 19.3% 242 103 qualified
CB 13.7% 171 103 limited sample
FC 12.9% 162 103 limited sample
CH 5.1% 64 88 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 2"
Weight202 lb
Debut2026-04-08
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.34
K% Δ+0.036

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.9σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.343
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.294

Drohan’s wOBA-against sits at 0.343, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.294 — a gap of 0.049, 1.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 112 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching122026-08-29Sinker played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.2% K | 4.20 ERAProjection
2026-04-08 @ BOS3 ER / 2 K2.2 IP