Mithrandir Metrics
Player Milwaukee Brewers Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Milwaukee Brewers

Shane Drohan

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 202 lb · Age 27

Cards
5
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Milwaukee Brewers Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2026433.09199170.0671.20
1 Seasons433.09199170.0671.20
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
68
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
60
Arsenal7 metrics
63
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason3.04
ERA current pace3.09
ERA rolling p503.07
Observed weight56%
ERA
1.58 2.29 3.07 3.85 4.55
FIP
1.85 2.73 3.71 4.69 5.57
K%
16.7% 18.7% 21.0% 23.3% 25.4%
BB%
5.4% 6.4% 7.6% 8.7% 9.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.26
60
ERA3.09
74
BB%7.1%
74 +38 vs proj
K%23.2%
56 +22 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.286
76
Barrel allowed9.0%
31
Fastball velo94.7
53
Hard-hit allowed38.2%
56
Whiff%24.1%
59
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Fastball Stuff+104
65
Mithrandir Stuff+105
74
Changeup Stuff+92
6
Curveball Stuff+103
71
Cutter Stuff+106
93
Sinker Stuff+102
49
Slider Stuff+106
82
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Drohan, Shane · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.286 2026-07-07: 0.2852026-07-08: 0.2912026-07-09: 0.2912026-07-10: 0.2912026-07-11: 0.2912026-07-12: 0.2912026-07-13: 0.2862026-07-14: 0.2862026-07-15: 0.2862026-07-16: 0.2862026-07-17: 0.2862026-07-18: 0.286 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 31%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Drohan, Shane · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 56%56%Hard hit allowed: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Drohan, Shane · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 30.7%Slider: 20.3%Sinker: 19.1%Curveball: 13.6%Cutter: 11.0%Changeup: 5.4% FF31% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 31%SL 20%SI 19%CU 14%FC 11%CH 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Drohan, Shane · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 31% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 94.8 mphFF95 mphSlider: 20% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 85.8 mphSL86 mphSinker: 19% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 94.6 mphSI95 mphCurveball: 14% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 52″ drop, 79.9 mphCU80 mphCutter: 11% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 90.3 mphFC90 mphChangeup: 5% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 84.7 mphCH85 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 31.7% 255 104 qualified
SL 19.9% 160 106 limited sample
SI 18.3% 147 102 limited sample
CB 14.7% 118 103 limited sample
FC 11.4% 92 106 limited sample
CH 4.1% 33 92 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 2"
Weight202 lb
Debut2026-04-08
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.09
K% Δ+0.031

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.8σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.339
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.286

Drohan’s wOBA-against sits at 0.339, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.286 — a gap of 0.053, 1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 73 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching52026-07-11Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.2% K | 4.18 ERAProjection
2026-04-08 @ BOS3 ER / 2 K2.2 IP