Mithrandir Metrics
Player WSH Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / WSH

José Tena

Player · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 10", 195 lb · Age 25

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club WSH Position -- Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024168144336.267.298.354.652
2025169193703.243.314.355.669
2026271335574.227.310.380.690
4 Seasons642681421013.242.307.362.669
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
67
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
62
Defense1 metrics
28
Speed4 metrics
39
Plate skills10 metrics
48
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-01
xwOBA preseason0.316
xwOBA current pace0.299
xwOBA rolling p500.306
Observed weight57%
xwOBA
0.277 0.291 0.306 0.322 0.336
wOBA
0.285 0.301 0.320 0.339 0.355
ISO
0.110 0.125 0.143 0.160 0.175
K%
24.3% 25.7% 27.4% 29.1% 30.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.9%
51
Exit velocity90.6
85
Hard-hit%45.7%
82
xBA0.342
76
xSLG0.547
65
xwOBA0.299
45 -18 vs proj
BB%9.1%
57 +23 vs proj
Bat speed71.9
79
K%29.4%
19 -44 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 2B
28
Arm Runs0.3 · 2B
Small sample
Range Runs-2.2 · 2B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · DH
47
Bolts2.0 · DH
29
SB Success Rate66.7% · DH
20
Sprint Speed27.8 · DH
60
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.8% · rebadged research
37
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.3% · rebadged research
39
Correct Decisions64.3% · rebadged research
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.268 · borderline
89
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.269 · insufficient sample
74
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.247 · validated thin sample
97
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.352 · insufficient sample
12
Resists FastballwOBA 0.333 · validated
58
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.378 · validated
12
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
32
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Tena, José · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.303 0.299 2026-08-21: 0.3042026-08-22: 0.3042026-08-23: 0.3042026-08-24: 0.3042026-08-25: 0.3052026-08-26: 0.3052026-08-27: 0.3012026-08-28: 0.3012026-08-29: 0.3012026-08-30: 0.3002026-08-31: 0.3012026-09-01: 0.299 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

José Tena's tools (88) and production (89) are aligned. Primary finding: elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connects.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Contact-Discipline Mismatch
Hold Hold Hold Hold Attack Hold Hold Hold Hold

Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs

Protected takes / Chase risk
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

121 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Tena, José · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 18% of plotted batted ballsPull 18%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsOppo 11% LF 337 CF 402 RF 335 2026-03-16 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 105.9 / LA 8.02026-03-16 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 84.5 / LA 11.02026-03-16 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 93.4 / LA 24.02026-03-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA -1.02026-03-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -16.02026-03-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.0 / LA -42.02026-03-20 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 80.1 / LA -20.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 68.7 / LA -24.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.8 / LA 16.02026-03-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.0 / LA -19.02026-03-22 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 2.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 53.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.4 / LA 37.02026-03-28 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA 2.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -27.02026-03-30 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.7 / LA 7.02026-03-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.2 / LA -13.02026-03-30 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 75.9 / LA 13.02026-03-30 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 91.3 / LA 15.02026-03-31 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 78.0 / LA 37.02026-04-04 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 88.1 / LA 13.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 51.02026-04-05 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 73.6 / LA 14.02026-04-06 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 34.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 39.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 48.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 80.6 / LA 43.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 71.7 / LA -16.02026-04-12 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA -5.02026-04-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 60.4 / LA -9.02026-04-13 · field out · CH · popup · EV 67.0 / LA 62.02026-04-13 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA -10.02026-04-14 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 93.4 / LA 14.02026-04-17 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 17.02026-04-17 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.1 / LA -12.02026-04-17 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 112.5 / LA 10.02026-04-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 66.7 / LA 10.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.8 / LA -14.02026-04-20 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 101.7 / LA 17.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 79.0 / LA 74.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 27.02026-04-21 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 17.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.7 / LA -13.02026-04-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.1 / LA -8.02026-04-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.2 / LA 24.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 102.8 / LA 15.02026-04-30 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -11.02026-05-01 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA -6.02026-05-02 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 20.02026-05-03 · triple · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 23.02026-05-05 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 76.2 / LA 24.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 91.5 / LA 81.02026-05-05 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 105.6 / LA 20.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 87.1 / LA 40.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 58.02026-05-06 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 16.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA -3.02026-05-06 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 34.02026-05-07 · grounded into double play · FS · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 1.02026-05-07 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.9 / LA -5.02026-05-09 · fielders choice out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 4.02026-05-09 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 110.8 / LA 17.02026-05-12 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -4.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 64.4 / LA -31.02026-05-12 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 106.1 / LA 19.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 111.6 / LA 16.02026-05-16 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 78.7 / LA -22.02026-05-16 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 114.0 / LA 3.02026-05-17 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 107.5 / LA 15.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.9 / LA -4.02026-05-18 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 12.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 78.0 / LA 34.02026-05-18 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.5 / LA -37.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 17.02026-05-19 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 27.02026-05-19 · fielders choice · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 5.02026-05-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.3 / LA -40.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA -10.02026-05-27 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 71.4 / LA -28.02026-05-27 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA -7.02026-05-27 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA -2.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA -17.02026-05-31 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 104.6 / LA 8.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 73.5 / LA -12.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 61.9 / LA -35.02026-06-05 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 13.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 64.6 / LA -3.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.8 / LA -5.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 112.0 / LA 16.02026-06-24 · triple · SI · line_drive · EV 81.5 / LA 26.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 46.02026-06-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 108.3 / LA -1.02026-06-26 · field out · CH · popup · EV 70.7 / LA 64.02026-06-30 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 95.7 / LA 10.02026-07-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 63.8 / LA -57.02026-07-31 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 80.0 / LA 33.02026-07-31 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -4.02026-07-31 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 80.9 / LA 26.02026-07-31 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -14.02026-08-02 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 65.3 / LA -76.02026-08-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.9 / LA -25.02026-08-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 60.9 / LA -55.02026-08-07 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 4.02026-08-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.6 / LA -25.02026-08-08 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 12.02026-08-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 66.4 / LA -42.02026-08-19 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 77.8 / LA 25.02026-08-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.2 / LA -4.02026-08-19 · home run · FS · fly_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 24.02026-08-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.9 / LA -11.02026-08-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.6 / LA -12.02026-08-23 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 102.2 / LA 23.02026-08-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 66.02026-08-26 · double · CU · fly_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 42.02026-08-26 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 80.4 / LA 33.02026-08-29 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 55.7 / LA -57.02026-08-29 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 56.7 / LA -76.02026-08-29 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 28.02026-08-29 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 81.5 / LA 53.02026-08-31 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 63.1 / LA -23.02026-08-31 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 81.4 / LA 49.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Tena, José · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 30%30%Zone contact: 80%80%Contact: 70%70%Hard hit: 46%46% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.016
wOBA Δ+0.005

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.320
xwOBA (deserved)0.299

Tena’s wOBA sits at 0.320, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.299 — a gap of 0.021, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 286 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-08-19Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.315 xwOBA | 5 HRProjection