Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs
Protected takes / Chase risk
José Tena
Player · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 10", 195 lb · Age 25
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 168 | 14 | 43 | 3 | 6 | .267 | .298 | .354 | .652 |
| 2025 | 169 | 19 | 37 | 0 | 3 | .243 | .314 | .355 | .669 |
| 2026 | 271 | 33 | 55 | 7 | 4 | .227 | .310 | .380 | .690 |
| 4 Seasons | 642 | 68 | 142 | 10 | 13 | .242 | .307 | .362 | .669 |
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.316 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.299 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.306 |
| Observed weight | 57% |
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
José Tena's tools (88) and production (89) are aligned. Primary finding: elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connects.
Field-coordinate spray profile
121 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Current snapshot
| MLB bio context is unavailable. |
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.005 |
negative regression
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Tena’s wOBA sits at 0.320, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.299 — a gap of 0.021, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 286 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-08-19 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.315 xwOBA | 5 HR | Projection |