Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
| Debut | 2026-04-05 |
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays
Brandon Valenzuela
C · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 0", 225 lb · Age 25
Club Toronto Blue Jays
Position C
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 145 | 17 | 32 | 7 | 1 | .252 | .333 | .457 | .790 |
| 1 Seasons | 145 | 17 | 32 | 7 | 1 | .252 | .333 | .457 | .790 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
62
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.273 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.346 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.303 |
| Observed weight | 40% |
xwOBA
0.240
0.269
0.303
0.336
0.366
wOBA
0.301
0.325
0.351
0.378
0.401
ISO
0.098
0.124
0.154
0.184
0.210
K%
13.5%
17.7%
22.5%
27.2%
31.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.1%
63
+31 vs proj
Exit velocity87.5
40
Hard-hit%37.8%
42
+18 vs proj
xBA0.349
75
xSLG0.597
72
xwOBA0.346
78
+43 vs proj
BB%10.8%
72
+45 vs proj
Bat speed69.8
53
K%22.3%
47
+22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.3 · C
29
Catcher Throwing1.7 · C
85
Framing Runs5.5 · C
100
Pop Time1.9 · C
80
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.2 · C
7
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.1% · rebadged research
42
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4% · rebadged research
68
Correct Decisions67.6% · rebadged research
64
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.320 · borderline
7
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.289 · insufficient sample
22
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.306 · validated thin sample
5
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
60
Resists FastballwOBA 0.293 · validated
98
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.378 · validated
13
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
50
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
77 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.052 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.057 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Valenzuela’s wOBA sits at 0.351, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.346 — a gap of 0.005, -0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 148 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-05-09 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.294 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | R |
| 2026-04-15 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 1 E | 1-3 | K |
| 2026-04-14 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | K |
| 2026-04-12 vs MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 13 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-11 vs MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |