Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / TOR · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team TOR
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
64
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.273 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.350 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.305 |
| Observed weight | 41% |
xwOBA
0.242
0.272
0.305
0.338
0.367
wOBA
0.303
0.326
0.352
0.378
0.402
ISO
0.097
0.123
0.153
0.182
0.208
K%
13.8%
18.1%
22.8%
27.5%
31.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.9%
62
+30 vs proj
Exit velocity87.5
40
Hard-hit%37.4%
40
+15 vs proj
xBA0.359
83
xSLG0.606
77
xwOBA0.350
81
+45 vs proj
BB%11.2%
75
+48 vs proj
Bat speed69.9
54
K%23.0%
43
+19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.2 · C
33
Catcher Throwing1.6 · C
89
Framing Runs4.6 · C
97
Pop Time1.9 · C
80
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.5 · C
11
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.1% · rebadged research
42
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4% · rebadged research
68
Correct Decisions67.6% · rebadged research
64
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.320 · borderline
7
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
22
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.305 · validated thin sample
6
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
59
Resists FastballwOBA 0.293 · validated
99
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.378 · validated
13
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
50
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
77 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.056 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.058 |
| Sample | 152 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 201 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.294 | 0.122 to 0.323 | +/- 0.100 |
| ISO | 0.123 | 0.029 to 0.208 | +/- 0.089 |
| Barrel% | 3.9% | 0.2% to 5.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.7% | 12.0% to 37.7% | +/- 12.9% |
| K% | 27.0% | 6.8% to 36.3% | +/- 14.8% |
| BB% | 6.8% | 1.3% to 9.0% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.292 | 0.184 to 0.366 | +/- 0.091 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |