Mithrandir Metrics
Player Texas Rangers Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Texas Rangers

Justin Foscue

2B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 205 lb · Age 27

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Texas Rangers Position 2B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024443200.048.091.071.162
202590100.111.111.222.333
2026122153170.284.352.541.893
3 Seasons175183470.213.274.400.674
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
79
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
67
Defense2 metrics
24
Speed1 metrics
51
Plate skills10 metrics
42
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.210
xwOBA current pace0.360
xwOBA rolling p500.265
Observed weight37%
xwOBA
0.194 0.228 0.265 0.302 0.336
wOBA
0.337 0.363 0.392 0.421 0.447
ISO
0.088 0.118 0.152 0.186 0.217
K%
22.3% 26.7% 31.6% 36.5% 40.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.8%
85 +59 vs proj
Exit velocity89.2
63
Hard-hit%42.0%
63 +52 vs proj
xBA0.362
85
xSLG0.680
91
xwOBA0.360
88 +83 vs proj
BB%8.6%
50 +33 vs proj
Bat speed69.4
45
K%25.8%
33 +28 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength78.7 · 2B
4
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
43
Range Runs1.7 · 2B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.4 · 2B
51
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.3% · rebadged research
64
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.4% · rebadged research
28
Correct Decisions65.0% · rebadged research
38
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
35
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.296 · insufficient sample
12
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
80
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.366 · insufficient sample
6
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320 · validated
84
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.371 · validated
21
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
51
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Foscue, Justin · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.360 2026-07-06: 0.3622026-07-07: 0.3622026-07-08: 0.3622026-07-09: 0.3692026-07-10: 0.3632026-07-11: 0.3712026-07-12: 0.3652026-07-13: 0.3622026-07-14: 0.3602026-07-15: 0.3602026-07-16: 0.3602026-07-17: 0.360 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

55 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Foscue, Justin · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 27% of plotted batted ballsPull 27%Center field third: 60% of plotted batted ballsCenter 60%Right field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsOppo 13% LF 329 CF 407 RF 326 2026-03-15 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 74.7 / LA 44.02026-03-15 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 35.02026-03-21 · field out · ST · popup · EV 81.6 / LA 79.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.9 / LA 57.02026-05-05 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 83.9 / LA -34.02026-05-08 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 98.2 / LA 14.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 27.02026-05-09 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 95.3 / LA -15.02026-05-09 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 22.02026-05-09 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -5.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 30.02026-05-10 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 2.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 2.02026-05-15 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 80.6 / LA -13.02026-05-15 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 80.1 / LA 14.02026-05-16 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 87.8 / LA 16.02026-05-16 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 29.02026-05-17 · field out · SV · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 24.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 61.9 / LA -10.02026-05-18 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 102.5 / LA 15.02026-05-18 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 29.02026-05-18 · double · CU · fly_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 24.02026-05-19 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 86.5 / LA 21.02026-05-19 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 35.02026-05-19 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 106.9 / LA 21.02026-05-19 · field out · ST · popup · EV 82.4 / LA 77.02026-05-20 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -7.02026-05-20 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 97.6 / LA 14.02026-05-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 2.02026-05-22 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 90.6 / LA 16.02026-05-22 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 70.7 / LA 19.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 50.02026-05-24 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 101.4 / LA 15.02026-05-24 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.9 / LA 2.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 30.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · popup · EV 91.0 / LA 66.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA -2.02026-05-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 60.7 / LA 34.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.9 / LA 40.02026-05-26 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA -9.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA -22.02026-05-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA -3.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 10.02026-06-07 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 25.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 33.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 80.0 / LA 32.02026-06-18 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 27.02026-06-22 · field out · SL · popup · EV 75.1 / LA 62.02026-06-24 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 18.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA -28.02026-06-26 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.8 / LA 28.02026-06-26 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 82.1 / LA 13.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.2 / LA 18.02026-07-01 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 47.1 / LA -78.02026-07-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 58.5 / LA -45.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Foscue, Justin · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 51%51%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height5' 11"
Weight205 lb
Debut2024-04-05
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.118
wOBA Δ+0.151

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.9σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.392
xwOBA (deserved)0.360

Foscue’s wOBA sits at 0.392, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.360 — a gap of 0.032, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 128 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-05-18Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.241 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E3-5 | 2 K, R