Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
| Debut | 2023-06-19 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Henry Davis
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 225 lb · Age 27
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 122 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 0 | .144 | .242 | .212 | .454 |
| 2025 | 283 | 25 | 42 | 7 | 2 | .167 | .234 | .278 | .512 |
| 2026 | 298 | 33 | 44 | 10 | 3 | .172 | .272 | .313 | .585 |
| 4 Seasons | 958 | 94 | 149 | 25 | 8 | .178 | .265 | .300 | .565 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
44
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.300 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.290 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.294 |
| Observed weight | 59% |
xwOBA
0.262
0.277
0.294
0.312
0.327
wOBA
0.269
0.285
0.302
0.320
0.336
ISO
0.115
0.132
0.151
0.169
0.186
K%
20.3%
21.6%
23.1%
24.6%
25.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.7%
64
Exit velocity88.3
54
Hard-hit%41.5%
66
xBA0.264
9
xSLG0.454
33
xwOBA0.290
36
BB%9.2%
59
+16 vs proj
Bat speed70.0
57
K%21.0%
62
+33 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.0 · C
78
Catcher Throwing1.9 · C
82
Framing Runs0.2 · C
53
Pop Time1.9 · C
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.1 · C
68
SB Success Rate66.7% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.9% · rebadged research
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.3% · rebadged research
89
Correct Decisions70.1% · rebadged research
87
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
70
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.272 · borderline
83
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
57
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.231 · validated thin sample
100
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
77
Resists FastballwOBA 0.310 · validated
90
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.390 · validated
5
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
150 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.004 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.008 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Davis’s wOBA sits at 0.302, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.290 — a gap of 0.012, -0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 314 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-09-06 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 10 | 2026-09-19 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.294 xwOBA | 9 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-17 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB |
| 2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | HBP |
| 2026-04-13 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | BB, K, 3 R |
| 2026-04-11 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 14 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 4 K |
| 2026-04-07 vs SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B |