Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 210 lb |
| Debut | 2022-04-25 |
Player profile / Tacoma Rainiers
Brendan Donovan
3B · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 11", 210 lb · Age 29
Club Tacoma Rainiers
Position 3B
Roster Injured 10-Day
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 652 | 65 | 163 | 14 | 5 | .278 | .342 | .417 | .759 |
| 2025 | 515 | 64 | 132 | 10 | 3 | .287 | .353 | .422 | .775 |
| 2026 | 101 | 9 | 23 | 3 | 1 | .274 | .386 | .452 | .838 |
| 5 Seasons | 2107 | 250 | 521 | 43 | 16 | .282 | .362 | .413 | .775 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
47
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.332 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.344 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.336 |
| Observed weight | 37% |
xwOBA
0.309
0.322
0.336
0.351
0.364
wOBA
0.455
0.482
0.512
0.542
0.569
ISO
0.117
0.134
0.154
0.173
0.191
K%
11.1%
12.5%
13.9%
15.4%
16.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.9%
33
Exit velocity87.6
44
Hard-hit%36.0%
35
-18 vs proj
xBA0.322
51
xSLG0.470
35
xwOBA0.344
82
BB%11.0%
76
+42 vs proj
Bat speed66.7
17
K%14.2%
89
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · 3B
7
Range Runs-3.7 · 3B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.2 · 3B
7
SB Success Rate50.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.6% · rebadged research
71
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.4% · rebadged research
15
Correct Decisions65.4% · rebadged research
42
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.255 · borderline
96
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.301 · insufficient sample
8
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.294 · validated thin sample
19
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.357 · insufficient sample
11
Resists FastballwOBA 0.376 · validated
7
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
73
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
48
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
88 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.184 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Donovan’s wOBA sits at 0.512, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.344 — a gap of 0.168, -4.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 127 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-03-29 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.328 xwOBA | 12 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-17 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-15 @ SD0 HR | 2 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, HBP, 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | HBP |
| 2026-04-13 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, BB |
| 2026-04-12 vs HOU0 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | HBP, K, RBI |