Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Mets Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Mets

Christian Scott

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 4", 215 lb · Age 26

Cards
5
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Mets Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024034.5699047.1391.20
2026203.1099040.2471.35
2 Seasons233.891818088.0861.27
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-12
53
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
61
Arsenal5 metrics
55
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-12
ERA preseason4.08
ERA current pace2.97
ERA rolling p503.62
Observed weight41%
ERA
2.48 3.02 3.62 4.22 4.76
FIP
2.67 2.96 3.28 3.60 3.90
K%
17.8% 19.7% 21.7% 23.8% 25.6%
BB%
5.7% 6.7% 7.7% 8.8% 9.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-12
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.34
41
ERA2.97
70
BB%10.6%
30 -54 vs proj
K%26.5%
79 +41 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.319
46
Barrel allowed4.9%
83 +52 vs proj
Fastball velo95.4
67
Hard-hit allowed31.4%
91
Whiff%22.3%
45
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-12
Fastball Stuff+103
52
Cutter Stuff+104
69
Mithrandir Stuff+104
67
Sinker Stuff+91
7
Slider Stuff+106
82
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Scott, Christian · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.319 2026-06-01: 0.3242026-06-02: 0.3242026-06-03: 0.3242026-06-04: 0.3242026-06-05: 0.3242026-06-06: 0.3192026-06-07: 0.3192026-06-08: 0.3192026-06-09: 0.3192026-06-10: 0.3192026-06-11: 0.3192026-06-12: 0.319 2026-06-01 2026-06-12 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 50%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Scott, Christian · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 31%31% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Scott, Christian · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 49.8%Sweeper: 22.9%Cutter: 17.1%Split-Finger: 6.3%Sinker: 2.4%Slider: 1.5% FF50% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 50%ST 23%FC 17%FS 6%SI 2%SL 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Scott, Christian · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 50% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 95.5 mphFF95 mphSweeper: 23% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 81.3 mphST81 mphCutter: 17% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 89.1 mphFC89 mphSplit-Finger: 6% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 84.2 mphFS84 mphSinker: 2% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 92.5 mphSI92 mphSlider: 2% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 83.2 mphSL83 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 54.9% 258 103 qualified
SL 23.6% 111 106 limited sample
FC 18.5% 87 104 limited sample
SI 3.0% 14 91 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 4"
Weight215 lb
Debut2024-05-04
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.51
K% Δ+0.056

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.4σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.334
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.319

Scott’s wOBA-against sits at 0.334, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.319 — a gap of 0.015, 0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 39 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching52026-05-244-Seam Fastball played up through FF/ST tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.9% K | 4.48 ERAProjection