Mithrandir Metrics
Player Knoxville Smokies Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Knoxville Smokies

Luke Little

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 8", 220 lb · Age 25

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
--
Club Knoxville Smokies Position P Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024313.46301026.0281.27
2025003.382002.242.63
2026009.001001.012.00
4 Seasons312.97401036.1451.40
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-15
89
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal2 metrics
89
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-15
ERA preseason3.77
ERA current pace9.00
ERA rolling p503.88
Observed weight2%
ERA
1.18 2.46 3.88 5.29 6.57
FIP
2.65 3.33 4.09 4.85 5.53
K%
16.5% 19.7% 23.3% 26.8% 30.0%
BB%
7.2% 9.9% 12.8% 15.8% 18.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-15
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-15
Fastball Stuff+108
88
Mithrandir Stuff+107
90
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

2Pitches 2025Season 54%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Little, Luke · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 53%53%Zone: 63%63%Whiff: 30%30%Called strike: 21%21%First pitch strike: 100%100%Hard hit allowed: 50%50% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2025
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Little, Luke · 2025 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 53.9%Sweeper: 46.1% FF54% · 93 mphprimary pitch FF 54%ST 46% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Little, Luke · 2025 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 54% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 93.3 mphFF93 mphSweeper: 46% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 82.3 mphST82 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 73.7% 14 108 limited sample
SL 21.1% 4 107 limited sample
SI 5.3% 1 68 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height6' 8"
Weight220 lb
Debut2023-09-06
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202626.0% K | 3.77 ERAProjection
2026-04-15 @ PHI1 ER / 1 K1.0 IP