Mithrandir Metrics
Player Toronto Blue Jays Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays

Lazaro Estrada

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
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Club Toronto Blue Jays Position P Roster Injured 60-Day Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
ERA preseason3.78
ERA current pace0.00
ERA rolling p503.36
Observed weight11%
ERA
1.64 2.46 3.36 4.27 5.09
FIP
2.40 3.06 3.80 4.54 5.20
K%
14.4% 17.8% 21.5% 25.2% 28.6%
BB%
2.4% 4.6% 7.0% 9.5% 11.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-02
Mithrandir Stuff+102
48
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 49%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Estrada, Lazaro · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 13%13%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 53%53%Hard hit allowed: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Estrada, Lazaro · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 49.2%Slider: 31.1%Split-Finger: 12.1%Curveball: 7.6% MIX FF 49%SL 31%FS 12%CU 8% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Estrada, Lazaro · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB 0.0, IVB 1.1FFSL: HB -0.1, IVB 2.3SLFS: HB -0.2, IVB 2.1FSCU: HB -0.2, IVB 5.0CU horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 59.4% 38 106 limited sample
SL 32.8% 21 96 limited sample
CB 7.8% 5 90 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height5' 10"
Weight180 lb
Debut2025-07-05
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching12026-03-164-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.6% K | 4.10 ERAProjection
2026-04-04 @ CWS0 ER / 3 K4.0 IP