Mithrandir Metrics
Player Buffalo Bisons Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Buffalo Bisons

Lazaro Estrada

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 180 lb · Age 27

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
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Club Buffalo Bisons Position P Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025008.592007.1101.50
2026002.842006.130.79
2 Seasons005.9340013.2131.17
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
28
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal4 metrics
28
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason3.79
ERA current pace2.84
ERA rolling p503.65
Observed weight14%
ERA
1.96 2.76 3.65 4.54 5.35
FIP
2.69 3.33 4.05 4.77 5.41
K%
14.0% 17.2% 20.8% 24.4% 27.7%
BB%
3.0% 5.1% 7.5% 9.9% 12.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Curveball Stuff+95
0
Fastball Stuff+102
46
Mithrandir Stuff+100
33
Slider Stuff+99
32
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 48%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Estrada, Lazaro · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 15%15%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Estrada, Lazaro · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 47.6%Slider: 31.7%Split-Finger: 11.6%Curveball: 9.1% FF48% · 93 mphprimary pitch FF 48%SL 32%FS 12%CU 9% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Estrada, Lazaro · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 48% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 92.7 mphFF93 mphSlider: 32% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 86.4 mphSL86 mphSplit-Finger: 12% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 84.6 mphFS85 mphCurveball: 9% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 60″ drop, 75.2 mphCU75 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 54.8% 51 102 limited sample
SL 34.4% 32 99 limited sample
CB 10.8% 10 95 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height5' 10"
Weight180 lb
Debut2025-07-05
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching12026-03-164-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.6% K | 4.10 ERAProjection
2026-04-04 @ CWS0 ER / 3 K4.0 IP