Mithrandir Metrics
Player COL Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / COL

Tanner Gordon

Player · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 5", 220 lb · Age 28

Cards
7
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club COL Position -- Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024068.6588034.1261.72
2025686.331515075.1621.50
2026026.44125050.1471.61
3 Seasons6166.8635280160.01351.58
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
35
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
27
Arsenal6 metrics
55
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason4.47
ERA current pace6.44
ERA rolling p505.47
Observed weight51%
ERA
4.03 4.71 5.47 6.22 6.90
FIP
3.83 4.22 4.65 5.08 5.47
K%
16.1% 17.7% 19.4% 21.1% 22.6%
BB%
3.6% 4.3% 5.1% 5.8% 6.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.58
11
ERA6.44
7
BB%4.9%
96
K%20.8%
38
xwOBA allowed0.340
25
Barrel allowed11.7%
7 -28 vs proj
Fastball velo92.6
24
Hard-hit allowed44.7%
14
Whiff%19.9%
24
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Fastball Stuff+104
65
Mithrandir Stuff+103
62
Changeup Stuff+106
78
Curveball Stuff+101
33
Sinker Stuff+98
24
Slider Stuff+104
67
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Gordon, Tanner · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.340 2026-07-07: 0.3382026-07-08: 0.3382026-07-09: 0.3382026-07-10: 0.3382026-07-11: 0.3382026-07-12: 0.3402026-07-13: 0.3402026-07-14: 0.3402026-07-15: 0.3402026-07-16: 0.3402026-07-17: 0.3402026-07-18: 0.340 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 38%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Gordon, Tanner · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 53%53%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 45%45%Hard hit allowed: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Gordon, Tanner · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 38.4%Slider: 27.0%Changeup: 20.3%Curveball: 9.4%Sinker: 5.0% FF38% · 93 mphprimary pitch FF 38%SL 27%CH 20%CU 9%SI 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Gordon, Tanner · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 38% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 92.7 mphFF93 mphSlider: 27% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 86.7 mphSL87 mphChangeup: 20% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 84.4 mphCH84 mphCurveball: 9% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 46″ drop, 80.6 mphCU81 mphSinker: 5% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 92.0 mphSI92 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 33.6% 224 104 qualified
SL 27.8% 185 104 limited sample
CH 21.5% 143 106 limited sample
CB 9.2% 61 101 limited sample
SI 8.0% 53 98 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+1.23
K% Δ+0.014

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

3.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.441
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.340

Gordon’s wOBA-against sits at 0.441, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.340 — a gap of 0.101, 3.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 54 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching72026-07-10Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/CH tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202619.4% K | 5.21 ERAProjection
2026-04-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 1 E0 H in 0 AB
2026-04-15 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0 H in 0 AB