Mithrandir Metrics
Player Washington Nationals Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Washington Nationals

Drew Millas

C · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 0", 204 lb · Age 28

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Washington Nationals Position C Roster Injured 10-Day Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20246271414.246.306.316.622
20255561502.306.358.449.807
2026152182420.185.277.262.539
4 Seasons302326146.231.308.330.638
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
11
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
19
Defense4 metrics
49
Speed1 metrics
55
Plate skills10 metrics
53
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.301
xwOBA current pace0.266
xwOBA rolling p500.286
Observed weight43%
xwOBA
0.245 0.264 0.286 0.307 0.327
wOBA
0.245 0.267 0.291 0.315 0.336
ISO
0.057 0.079 0.102 0.126 0.147
K%
17.6% 19.7% 22.0% 24.3% 26.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.8%
11
Exit velocity81.5
4
Hard-hit%21.8%
4
xBA0.286
18
xSLG0.397
13
xwOBA0.266
14 -19 vs proj
BB%9.2%
57 +23 vs proj
Bat speed65.4
8
K%24.5%
39 -32 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.0 · C
15
Catcher Throwing-0.9 · C
26
Framing Runs4.4 · C
95
Pop Time1.9 · C
59
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.6 · C
55
SB Success Rate0.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.7% · rebadged research
71
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.6% · rebadged research
12
Correct Decisions65.7% · rebadged research
45
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.271 · borderline
84
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.252 · insufficient sample
98
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
27
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · insufficient sample
28
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344 · validated
38
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
43
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Millas, Drew · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.266 2026-07-06: 0.2692026-07-07: 0.2672026-07-08: 0.2642026-07-09: 0.2642026-07-10: 0.2642026-07-11: 0.2642026-07-12: 0.2642026-07-13: 0.2662026-07-14: 0.2662026-07-15: 0.2662026-07-16: 0.2662026-07-17: 0.266 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

79 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Millas, Drew · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsPull 15%Center field third: 76% of plotted batted ballsCenter 76%Right field third: 9% of plotted batted ballsOppo 9% LF 337 CF 402 RF 335 2026-03-17 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 85.3 / LA 12.02026-03-20 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 13.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA 3.02026-03-22 · field out · FS · popup · EV 70.3 / LA 65.02026-03-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 67.5 / LA -30.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -14.02026-03-28 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.0 / LA -5.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.1 / LA 8.02026-03-30 · double play · FF · line_drive · EV 49.2 / LA 32.02026-03-30 · force out · CU · line_drive · EV 67.1 / LA 12.02026-03-30 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 68.5 / LA 35.02026-04-01 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 84.5 / LA 18.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 81.2 / LA 50.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 50.6 / LA -50.02026-04-04 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.6 / LA -27.02026-04-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 61.6 / LA 15.02026-04-06 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -15.02026-04-08 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 73.8 / LA 0.02026-04-08 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 54.2 / LA 11.02026-04-08 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 78.3 / LA 27.02026-04-10 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 35.7 / LA -44.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 81.0 / LA -4.02026-04-14 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 69.7 / LA 14.02026-04-14 · field out · FC · popup · EV 62.4 / LA 72.02026-04-14 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 5.02026-04-15 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 95.9 / LA 24.02026-04-16 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 83.9 / LA 5.02026-04-16 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 83.9 / LA 13.02026-04-18 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 20.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 31.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 30.7 / LA 47.02026-04-18 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 59.9 / LA -22.02026-04-20 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.8 / LA -38.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.3 / LA -7.02026-04-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 15.02026-04-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 31.02026-04-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA -22.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 54.5 / LA 12.02026-04-26 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 82.5 / LA 29.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.1 / LA -6.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 34.02026-04-28 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 87.0 / LA 18.02026-04-28 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -22.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 3.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · popup · EV 87.4 / LA 69.02026-05-06 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 34.02026-05-06 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA -14.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 37.02026-05-09 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 6.02026-05-10 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 83.4 / LA 44.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 71.9 / LA -59.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball2026-05-14 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 94.1 / LA 10.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 93.0 / LA 18.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball2026-05-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 68.0 / LA -14.02026-05-18 · sac bunt · SI · ground_ball · EV 36.8 / LA -56.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA -5.02026-05-18 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 64.4 / LA 18.02026-05-18 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 87.2 / LA 14.02026-05-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 81.4 / LA -38.02026-05-19 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -7.02026-05-22 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 79.5 / LA 35.02026-05-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 67.1 / LA 21.02026-05-22 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 79.5 / LA 44.02026-05-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 58.8 / LA -23.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 5.02026-05-25 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 70.0 / LA -30.02026-05-25 · fielders choice · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA -4.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · popup · EV 79.9 / LA 67.02026-05-27 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 60.6 / LA 18.02026-05-27 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 0.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 74.5 / LA 12.02026-06-05 · field out · CU · popup · EV 63.6 / LA 65.02026-06-05 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 85.6 / LA 14.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.5 / LA 19.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.6 / LA 47.02026-07-01 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 36.02026-07-01 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 92.3 / LA 22.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Millas, Drew · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 22%22%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 78%78%Hard hit: 22%22% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height6' 0"
Weight204 lb
Debut2023-08-28
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.026
wOBA Δ-0.001

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.291
xwOBA (deserved)0.266

Millas’s wOBA sits at 0.291, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.266 — a gap of 0.025, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 163 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.291 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-04-20 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E0-3 | 2 K
2026-04-15 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1
2026-04-14 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E0-3
2026-04-12 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E0-2 | K
2026-04-11 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-0