Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026

Millas, Drew

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.291 xwOBA
Range
0.210 to 0.337
Live Δ
yes
Team WSH Archetype Ground-ball contact Age 28 Status IL-60
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
11
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
19
Defense4 metrics
47
Speed1 metrics
53
Plate skills10 metrics
52
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.8%
10
Exit velocity81.5
4
Hard-hit%21.8%
4
xBA0.286
18
xSLG0.397
12
xwOBA0.266
17
BB%9.2%
59
Bat speed65.4
8
K%24.5%
41
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.0 · C
20
Catcher Throwing-0.8 · C
27
Framing Runs4.0 · C
85
Pop Time1.9 · C
57
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.6 · C
53
SB Success Rate0.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-05
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.7% · rebadged research
72
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.6% · rebadged research
12
Correct Decisions65.7% · rebadged research
45
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
83
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.251 · insufficient sample
98
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
26
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
27
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344 · validated
37
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.343 · validated
80
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
44
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Millas, Drew · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.303 0.266 2026-08-25: 0.2662026-08-26: 0.2662026-08-27: 0.2662026-08-28: 0.2662026-08-29: 0.2662026-08-30: 0.2662026-08-31: 0.2662026-09-01: 0.2662026-09-02: 0.2662026-09-03: 0.2662026-09-04: 0.2662026-09-05: 0.266 2026-08-25 2026-09-05 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

79 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Millas, Drew · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsPull 15%Center field third: 76% of plotted batted ballsCenter 76%Right field third: 9% of plotted batted ballsOppo 9% LF 337 CF 402 RF 335 2026-03-17 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 85.3 / LA 12.02026-03-20 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 13.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA 3.02026-03-22 · field out · FS · popup · EV 70.3 / LA 65.02026-03-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 67.5 / LA -30.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -14.02026-03-28 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.0 / LA -5.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.1 / LA 8.02026-03-30 · double play · FF · line_drive · EV 49.2 / LA 32.02026-03-30 · force out · CU · line_drive · EV 67.1 / LA 12.02026-03-30 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 68.5 / LA 35.02026-04-01 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 84.5 / LA 18.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 81.2 / LA 50.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 50.6 / LA -50.02026-04-04 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.6 / LA -27.02026-04-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 61.6 / LA 15.02026-04-06 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -15.02026-04-08 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 73.8 / LA 0.02026-04-08 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 54.2 / LA 11.02026-04-08 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 78.3 / LA 27.02026-04-10 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 35.7 / LA -44.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 81.0 / LA -4.02026-04-14 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 69.7 / LA 14.02026-04-14 · field out · FC · popup · EV 62.4 / LA 72.02026-04-14 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 5.02026-04-15 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 95.9 / LA 24.02026-04-16 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 83.9 / LA 5.02026-04-16 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 83.9 / LA 13.02026-04-18 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 20.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 31.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 30.7 / LA 47.02026-04-18 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 59.9 / LA -22.02026-04-20 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.8 / LA -38.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.3 / LA -7.02026-04-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 15.02026-04-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 31.02026-04-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA -22.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 54.5 / LA 12.02026-04-26 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 82.5 / LA 29.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.1 / LA -6.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 34.02026-04-28 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 87.0 / LA 18.02026-04-28 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -22.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 3.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · popup · EV 87.4 / LA 69.02026-05-06 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 34.02026-05-06 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA -14.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 37.02026-05-09 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 6.02026-05-10 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 83.4 / LA 44.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 71.9 / LA -59.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball2026-05-14 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 94.1 / LA 10.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 93.0 / LA 18.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball2026-05-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 68.0 / LA -14.02026-05-18 · sac bunt · SI · ground_ball · EV 36.8 / LA -56.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA -5.02026-05-18 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 64.4 / LA 18.02026-05-18 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 87.2 / LA 14.02026-05-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 81.4 / LA -38.02026-05-19 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -7.02026-05-22 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 79.5 / LA 35.02026-05-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 67.1 / LA 21.02026-05-22 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 79.5 / LA 44.02026-05-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 58.8 / LA -23.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 5.02026-05-25 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 70.0 / LA -30.02026-05-25 · fielders choice · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA -4.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · popup · EV 79.9 / LA 67.02026-05-27 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 60.6 / LA 18.02026-05-27 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 0.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 74.5 / LA 12.02026-06-05 · field out · CU · popup · EV 63.6 / LA 65.02026-06-05 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 85.6 / LA 14.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.5 / LA 19.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.6 / LA 47.02026-07-01 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 36.02026-07-01 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 92.3 / LA 22.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Millas, Drew · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 22%22%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 78%78%Hard hit: 22%22% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ--
wOBA Δ--
Sample163 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances236----
Home Runs6----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2910.210 to 0.337+/- 0.063
ISO0.1160.058 to 0.209+/- 0.075
Barrel%2.6%0.5% to 5.6%+/- 2.5%
Hard-Hit%28.7%19.2% to 40.1%+/- 10.5%
K%18.6%12.1% to 26.2%+/- 7.0%
BB%7.3%3.1% to 9.3%+/- 3.1%
BABIP0.2930.229 to 0.367+/- 0.069
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

42 career PA

xwOBA0.107
K%7.4%
BB%3.1%
Barrel1.0%
vs RHP

118 career PA

xwOBA0.108
K%6.4%
BB%2.6%
Barrel1.0%