Mithrandir Metrics
Player Las Vegas Aviators Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Las Vegas Aviators

Darell Hernaiz

SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 190 lb · Age 24

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Las Vegas Aviators Position SS Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202413582311.192.261.242.503
2025197174023.231.292.306.598
2026134122813.237.318.288.606
3 Seasons466379147.221.291.282.573
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
8
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
21
Defense4 metrics
57
Speed1 metrics
58
Plate skills10 metrics
48
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.7%
3
Exit velocity83.9
10
Hard-hit%25.7%
8
xBA0.268
9
xSLG0.338
3
xwOBA0.263
12
BB%9.0%
54
Bat speed66.6
17
K%17.9%
75
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
69
Arm Strength86.8 · SS
51
Outs Above Avg0.0 · SS
43
Range Runs1.6 · SS
66
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.7 · SS
58
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-19
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.4% · rebadged research
34
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8% · rebadged research
64
Correct Decisions66.2% · rebadged research
51
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · borderline
24
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
35
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257 · validated thin sample
95
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
36
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
49
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
55
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
41
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Hernaiz, Darell · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.263 2026-07-08: 0.2632026-07-09: 0.2632026-07-10: 0.2632026-07-11: 0.2632026-07-12: 0.2632026-07-13: 0.2632026-07-14: 0.2632026-07-15: 0.2632026-07-16: 0.2632026-07-17: 0.2632026-07-18: 0.2632026-07-19: 0.263 2026-07-08 2026-07-19 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

96 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Hernaiz, Darell · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 7% of plotted batted ballsPull 7%Center field third: 66% of plotted batted ballsCenter 66%Right field third: 27% of plotted batted ballsOppo 27% LF 325 CF 403 RF 325 2026-03-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.2 / LA 32.02026-03-17 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 105.2 / LA 17.02026-03-17 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.2 / LA -26.02026-03-19 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.8 / LA -24.02026-03-21 · field out · SL · popup · EV 78.9 / LA 70.02026-03-21 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 0.02026-03-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA 7.02026-03-23 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 86.7 / LA 12.02026-03-29 · field out · CH · popup · EV 79.7 / LA 73.02026-04-01 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.1 / LA 35.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.5 / LA -28.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 76.9 / LA 28.02026-04-03 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 6.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 24.02026-04-08 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 62.9 / LA -56.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 104.8 / LA 2.02026-04-09 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 62.0 / LA 31.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 80.6 / LA 27.02026-04-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.5 / LA 3.02026-04-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -7.02026-04-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA -5.02026-04-16 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 92.6 / LA -7.02026-04-16 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 38.02026-04-19 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 91.0 / LA 23.02026-04-19 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 35.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · popup · EV 78.2 / LA 69.02026-04-25 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -1.02026-04-26 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 37.5 / LA -34.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 81.2 / LA 45.02026-04-26 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -22.02026-04-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.0 / LA -7.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 40.02026-04-28 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 52.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · popup · EV 75.0 / LA 71.02026-04-28 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 65.7 / LA 16.02026-04-29 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 90.9 / LA 22.02026-04-29 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 86.6 / LA 17.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.6 / LA 32.02026-04-30 · field out · FC · popup · EV 70.5 / LA 80.02026-04-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 69.3 / LA -35.02026-04-30 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 64.1 / LA 8.02026-04-30 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 4.02026-05-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 54.1 / LA -79.02026-05-02 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 62.1 / LA -27.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.0 / LA 29.02026-05-02 · field out · ST · popup · EV 78.4 / LA 58.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 73.8 / LA 39.02026-05-03 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 77.7 / LA 31.02026-05-03 · field out · SI · popup · EV 74.8 / LA 78.02026-05-03 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.1 / LA 3.02026-05-05 · field out · SL · popup · EV 81.6 / LA 62.02026-05-12 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 43.0 / LA -41.02026-05-13 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 91.1 / LA 13.02026-05-13 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 87.2 / LA 16.02026-05-13 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.9 / LA -3.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 78.1 / LA 37.02026-05-14 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 88.8 / LA 8.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -4.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 90.1 / LA 28.02026-05-15 · single · FS · popup · EV 64.0 / LA 45.02026-05-15 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 40.5 / LA -70.02026-05-16 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 101.3 / LA 9.02026-05-16 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 28.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.9 / LA -27.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 76.3 / LA 39.02026-05-17 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.6 / LA -3.02026-05-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 3.02026-05-18 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.3 / LA -21.02026-05-18 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA -8.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 42.02026-05-19 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 5.02026-05-19 · field out · FS · popup · EV 74.7 / LA 68.02026-05-19 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 81.5 / LA 23.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 76.1 / LA 35.02026-05-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 46.02026-05-21 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 83.7 / LA 15.02026-05-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 32.02026-05-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 86.8 / LA -18.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.9 / LA 58.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.9 / LA 9.02026-05-23 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 87.1 / LA 18.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 98.2 / LA 20.02026-05-25 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.0 / LA 39.02026-05-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.5 / LA 7.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 72.6 / LA -3.02026-05-26 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 16.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 59.1 / LA -7.02026-05-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.4 / LA -79.02026-05-27 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 5.02026-05-27 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 86.9 / LA 21.02026-05-27 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 70.6 / LA 53.02026-05-27 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -24.02026-05-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA -18.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 63.9 / LA -40.02026-05-31 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 19.02026-06-05 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 38.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Hernaiz, Darell · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 36%36%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 87%87%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 26%26% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height5' 11"
Weight190 lb
Debut2024-03-28
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ--
wOBA Δ--

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.6σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.321
xwOBA (deserved)0.263

Hernaiz’s wOBA sits at 0.321, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.263 — a gap of 0.058, -1.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 145 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-05-20 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-1 | BB, HBP, K
2026-04-13 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-2 | K
2026-04-12 @ NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB, 2 K, SB
2026-04-11 @ NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-0
2026-04-09 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E1-3