Mithrandir Metrics
Player Athletics Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Athletics

Colby Thomas

RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 190 lb · Age 25

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Athletics Position RF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2025132202762.225.267.417.684
2026107112141.206.236.353.589
2 Seasons2393148103.216.253.387.640
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
54
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
50
Defense4 metrics
41
Speed1 metrics
70
Plate skills10 metrics
41
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-19
xwOBA preseason0.267
xwOBA current pace0.258
xwOBA rolling p500.264
Observed weight35%
xwOBA
0.221 0.241 0.264 0.287 0.307
wOBA
0.268 0.294 0.323 0.352 0.378
ISO
0.108 0.135 0.166 0.197 0.224
K%
20.9% 23.6% 26.6% 29.5% 32.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.1%
96 +38 vs proj
Exit velocity90.3
78
Hard-hit%41.5%
61
xBA0.273
11
xSLG0.556
65
xwOBA0.258
10 -28 vs proj
BB%3.4%
5 -18 vs proj
Bat speed74.4
96
K%27.7%
23
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · RF
19
Arm Strength90.3 · RF
24
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Range Runs-0.7 · RF
40
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.1 · RF
70
SB Success Rate0.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-19
Avoids Bad ChasesST 53.7% · rebadged research
8
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.3% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions65.0% · rebadged research
38
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · borderline
24
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
21
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
41
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
36
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
46
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
71
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
28
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Thomas, Colby · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.258 2026-07-08: 0.2742026-07-09: 0.2682026-07-10: 0.2682026-07-11: 0.2632026-07-12: 0.2662026-07-13: 0.2632026-07-14: 0.2612026-07-15: 0.2612026-07-16: 0.2612026-07-17: 0.2612026-07-18: 0.2612026-07-19: 0.258 2026-07-08 2026-07-19 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

50 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Thomas, Colby · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsPull 12%Center field third: 74% of plotted batted ballsCenter 74%Right field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsOppo 14% LF 325 CF 403 RF 325 2026-03-15 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 111.4 / LA 13.02026-03-15 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 34.02026-03-15 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 110.2 / LA 28.02026-03-16 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 49.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA -28.02026-03-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.9 / LA 12.02026-03-19 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 37.02026-03-20 · sac fly · FC · fly_ball · EV 106.6 / LA 43.02026-03-20 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 55.9 / LA -44.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 53.02026-03-21 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 96.0 / LA -1.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 56.02026-03-21 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 107.9 / LA 16.02026-04-25 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 107.8 / LA 10.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.4 / LA 54.02026-04-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 84.2 / LA 21.02026-04-30 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 21.02026-04-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA -21.02026-05-01 · sac bunt · CH · ground_ball · EV 45.1 / LA -70.02026-05-01 · single · FF · popup · EV 77.7 / LA 68.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 32.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.2 / LA -33.02026-05-03 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 102.1 / LA 25.02026-05-03 · field out · CH · popup · EV 93.9 / LA 65.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 105.2 / LA 18.02026-05-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.0 / LA -18.02026-05-05 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -2.02026-05-05 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA -42.02026-05-06 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 77.5 / LA -5.02026-05-09 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 74.5 / LA 23.02026-05-09 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA -9.02026-05-13 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 6.02026-05-13 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 23.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 43.02026-05-14 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 4.02026-05-16 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 82.9 / LA 46.02026-05-19 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 90.2 / LA 23.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 34.02026-05-22 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 85.5 / LA 43.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 73.5 / LA 14.02026-06-04 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA -23.02026-06-04 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 106.6 / LA 10.02026-06-04 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 35.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 51.02026-06-30 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.9 / LA 35.02026-06-30 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 83.8 / LA 25.02026-06-30 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 107.8 / LA 4.02026-07-01 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 99.4 / LA 18.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 85.8 / LA 68.02026-07-01 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA -8.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Thomas, Colby · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 42%42%Whiff: 30%30%Zone contact: 87%87%Contact: 70%70%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height5' 10"
Weight190 lb
Debut2025-06-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.037
wOBA Δ+0.028

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.323
xwOBA (deserved)0.258

Thomas’s wOBA sits at 0.323, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.258 — a gap of 0.065, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 119 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

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No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.296 xwOBA | 10 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-0