Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Jase Bowen

RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 215 lb · Age 25

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position RF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026445504.119.159.143.302
1 Seasons445504.119.159.143.302
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
43
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
34
Defense1 metrics
46
Speed2 metrics
75
Plate skills8 metrics
56
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.265
xwOBA current pace0.236
xwOBA rolling p500.259
Observed weight21%
xwOBA
0.178 0.216 0.259 0.302 0.340
wOBA
0.188 0.223 0.263 0.302 0.338
ISO
0.043 0.074 0.109 0.143 0.174
K%
15.1% 20.2% 25.8% 31.5% 36.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.8%
90 +55 vs proj
Exit velocity85.1
19
Hard-hit%34.4%
29
xBA0.337
65
xSLG0.514
52
xwOBA0.236
4 -27 vs proj
BB%3.5%
7 -28 vs proj
Bat speed68.7
36
K%38.6%
1 -27 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
46
Arm Runs1.0 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs0.3 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts5.0 · RF
56
Sprint Speed29.3 · RF
94
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.7% · rebadged research
61
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0% · rebadged research
53
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
34
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
78
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · insufficient sample
29
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325 · validated
76
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
61
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

10 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Bowen, Jase · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.236 2026-07-08: 0.2122026-07-09: 0.2282026-07-10: 0.2482026-07-11: 0.2482026-07-12: 0.2362026-07-13: 0.2362026-07-14: 0.2362026-07-15: 0.2362026-07-16: 0.2362026-07-17: 0.236 2026-07-08 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

15 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Bowen, Jase · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 73% of plotted batted ballsCenter 73%Right field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsOppo 13% LF 334 CF 396 RF 322 2026-03-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 53.02026-03-17 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.4 / LA 24.02026-03-19 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 81.4 / LA 23.02026-03-20 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA -17.02026-03-20 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 75.9 / LA -29.02026-03-21 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 114.6 / LA 21.02026-03-21 · fielders choice out · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA -7.02026-03-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 109.1 / LA 6.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 33.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.8 / LA -31.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 33.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA -3.02026-06-24 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 62.1 / LA 43.02026-06-30 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.3 / LA 8.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.8 / LA -7.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Bowen, Jase · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 47%47%Whiff: 34%34%Zone contact: 81%81%Contact: 66%66%Hard hit: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height6' 0"
Weight215 lb
Debut2026-06-02
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.054
wOBA Δ-0.027
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.290 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-03-23 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-0
2026-03-22 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-1
2026-03-21 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2B, K, SB
2026-03-20 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-03-19 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-1 | R, SB