Mithrandir Metrics
Player ATH Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / ATH

Max Muncy

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 180 lb · Age 23

Cards
4
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club ATH Position -- Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2025220174491.214.259.379.638
2026175243553.227.303.396.699
2 Seasons3954179144.219.278.386.664
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
74
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
63
Defense3 metrics
10
Speed1 metrics
65
Plate skills10 metrics
42
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.281
xwOBA current pace0.295
xwOBA rolling p500.288
Observed weight47%
xwOBA
0.254 0.270 0.288 0.306 0.322
wOBA
0.311 0.332 0.355 0.378 0.399
ISO
0.139 0.158 0.178 0.199 0.217
K%
25.8% 27.7% 29.8% 32.0% 33.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.7%
75 +24 vs proj
Exit velocity90.9
85
Hard-hit%49.5%
90 +48 vs proj
xBA0.349
78
xSLG0.596
76
xwOBA0.295
39
BB%7.7%
39 +17 vs proj
Bat speed72.4
83
K%32.5%
8
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.5 · 3B
20
Outs Above Avg-7.0 · 3B
3
Range Runs-5.1 · 3B
8
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.9 · 3B
65
SB Success Rate66.7% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.1% · rebadged research
25
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.6% · rebadged research
56
Correct Decisions63.4% · rebadged research
24
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.255 · borderline
97
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.289 · insufficient sample
22
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
76
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
75
Resists FastballwOBA 0.369 · validated
10
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.384 · validated
9
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
29
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Muncy, Max · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.295 2026-07-06: 0.2922026-07-07: 0.2932026-07-08: 0.2932026-07-09: 0.2952026-07-10: 0.2952026-07-11: 0.2952026-07-12: 0.2952026-07-13: 0.2952026-07-14: 0.2952026-07-15: 0.2952026-07-16: 0.2952026-07-17: 0.295 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

73 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Muncy, Max · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 22% of plotted batted ballsPull 22%Center field third: 66% of plotted batted ballsCenter 66%Right field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsOppo 12% LF 325 CF 403 RF 325 2026-03-15 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.5 / LA 33.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.5 / LA 64.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.3 / LA -28.02026-03-15 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA -23.02026-03-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 0.02026-03-16 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 33.02026-03-20 · home run · FF · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 23.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.7 / LA -48.02026-03-22 · fielders choice · ST · ground_ball · EV 61.5 / LA -50.02026-03-22 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 110.4 / LA 12.02026-03-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -5.02026-03-28 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 71.7 / LA -27.02026-03-28 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -9.02026-03-29 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 106.3 / LA 14.02026-03-29 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.8 / LA 23.02026-03-29 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 27.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 29.02026-03-30 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.3 / LA 22.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 80.1 / LA 76.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 97.7 / LA 9.02026-03-31 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 110.9 / LA 14.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 3.02026-04-03 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.7 / LA -21.02026-04-03 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 25.02026-04-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 109.9 / LA 9.02026-04-03 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 16.02026-04-04 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 3.02026-04-04 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 62.2 / LA -37.02026-04-05 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 32.02026-04-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.3 / LA -2.02026-04-05 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 27.02026-04-05 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 104.3 / LA 10.02026-04-05 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 66.9 / LA 1.02026-04-07 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 59.1 / LA -44.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA -7.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.6 / LA -6.02026-04-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 6.02026-04-08 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 42.02026-04-09 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 92.1 / LA 16.02026-04-09 · triple · SI · fly_ball · EV 107.8 / LA 26.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.9 / LA -21.02026-04-10 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 11.02026-04-10 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.0 / LA -37.02026-04-11 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 5.02026-04-11 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 13.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.9 / LA 4.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 49.3 / LA -3.02026-04-13 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 111.4 / LA -2.02026-04-14 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 1.02026-04-17 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 81.2 / LA -19.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 25.02026-04-18 · field out · ST · popup · EV 68.2 / LA 87.02026-04-18 · sac fly · SL · line_drive · EV 93.3 / LA 20.02026-04-18 · triple · SI · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 21.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 0.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 55.3 / LA -10.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 37.02026-04-20 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.5 / LA -42.02026-04-20 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 53.02026-04-20 · sac fly · ST · fly_ball · EV 84.3 / LA 44.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.0 / LA -9.02026-04-21 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.7 / LA -9.02026-04-21 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.4 / LA -1.02026-04-22 · field error · CU · ground_ball · EV 79.1 / LA 5.02026-04-22 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 77.0 / LA 33.02026-04-24 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 54.02026-04-24 · field out · FS · popup · EV 96.4 / LA 67.02026-06-20 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 78.0 / LA -48.02026-06-24 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.7 / LA 27.02026-06-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 72.2 / LA 15.02026-06-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.6 / LA 0.02026-06-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA -5.02026-06-30 · double · CU · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -2.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Muncy, Max · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 34%34%Whiff: 30%30%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 70%70%Hard hit: 50%50% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Muncy, Max · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 74.7 mph Hard swing rate 55% Whiff / swing 31% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.005
wOBA Δ+0.064

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.8σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.355
xwOBA (deserved)0.295

Muncy’s wOBA sits at 0.355, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.295 — a gap of 0.059, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 194 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting42026-04-09Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.290 xwOBA | 11 HRProjection
2026-04-20 @ SEA0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-2 | HBP, RBI
2026-04-17 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB, K, R
2026-04-15 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-3 | HBP, 3 K, R
2026-04-14 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, 2 K
2026-04-13 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-1 | HBP