Mithrandir Metrics
Player Arizona Diamondbacks Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Arizona Diamondbacks

Jordan Lawlar

LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 190 lb · Age 24

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Arizona Diamondbacks Position LF Roster Injured 10-Day Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2023342401.129.206.129.335
20257491202.182.257.288.545
20264461214.316.409.447.856
3 Seasons152172817.207.289.296.585
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
49
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
49
Defense1 metrics
80
Speed2 metrics
65
Plate skills10 metrics
61
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.246
xwOBA current pace0.348
xwOBA rolling p500.268
Observed weight22%
xwOBA
0.200 0.232 0.268 0.304 0.336
wOBA
0.513 0.551 0.593 0.636 0.674
ISO
0.034 0.064 0.098 0.131 0.161
K%
16.4% 20.6% 25.4% 30.1% 34.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.3%
24
Exit velocity85.0
17
Hard-hit%31.6%
19
xBA0.376
91
xSLG0.533
58
xwOBA0.348
84 +76 vs proj
BB%11.5%
81 +50 vs proj
Bat speed66.0
11
K%21.3%
58 +25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · CF
80
Arm Runs-0.4 · CF
Small sample
Range Runs0.8 · CF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts3.0 · CF
42
Sprint Speed28.8 · CF
88
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.6% · rebadged research
91
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.0% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions73.1% · rebadged research
95
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.278 · borderline
73
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
27
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.293 · validated thin sample
20
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
52
Resists FastballwOBA 0.354 · validated
21
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
42
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline115
97
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Lawlar, Jordan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.348 2026-07-06: 0.3482026-07-07: 0.3482026-07-08: 0.3482026-07-09: 0.3482026-07-10: 0.3482026-07-11: 0.3482026-07-12: 0.3482026-07-13: 0.3482026-07-14: 0.3482026-07-15: 0.3482026-07-16: 0.3482026-07-17: 0.348 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

23 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Lawlar, Jordan · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 35% of plotted batted ballsPull 35%Center field third: 61% of plotted batted ballsCenter 61%Right field third: 4% of plotted batted ballsOppo 4% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-03-16 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 73.9 / LA -2.02026-03-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 3.02026-03-18 · field out · SI · popup · EV 64.1 / LA 54.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 7.02026-03-20 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 92.2 / LA 6.02026-03-20 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 106.7 / LA 9.02026-03-21 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA -9.02026-03-21 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 48.1 / LA -50.02026-03-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 71.8 / LA 18.02026-03-24 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 33.02026-03-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 4.02026-03-26 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 21.02026-03-27 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 35.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.6 / LA 44.02026-03-30 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 101.7 / LA 10.02026-03-30 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 91.9 / LA 51.02026-03-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 1.02026-03-31 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 0.02026-03-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 43.8 / LA 4.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.5 / LA 58.02026-04-01 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 69.2 / LA 26.02026-04-02 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 28.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.6 / LA -45.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Lawlar, Jordan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 27%27%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 91%91%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height6' 0"
Weight190 lb
Debut2023-09-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.097
wOBA Δ+0.342
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-04-02Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.251 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-04-02 vs ATL1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-2 | HR, HBP, K
2026-04-01 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-3 | K
2026-03-31 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-3 | K, R
2026-03-30 vs DET0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E2-3 | BB, RBI, R
2026-03-27 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K