Mithrandir Metrics
Player Atlanta Braves Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Atlanta Braves

Bryce Elder

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
16
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Atlanta Braves Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
ERA preseason4.57
ERA current pace2.50
ERA rolling p503.43
Observed weight55%
ERA
2.36 2.87 3.43 3.99 4.50
FIP
3.24 3.49 3.77 4.05 4.30
K%
18.0% 19.3% 20.6% 22.0% 23.2%
BB%
6.1% 6.8% 7.6% 8.4% 9.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%7.5%
68
Barrel allowed3.4%
93 +47 vs proj
Fastball velo92.1
18
Hard-hit allowed38.9%
51
K%20.7%
37
Whiff%20.3%
27 -21 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.284
75 +34 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-02
Mithrandir Stuff+101
42
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Elder, Bryce · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-19: 0.2782026-05-21: 0.2782026-05-23: 0.2762026-05-24: 0.2762026-05-25: 0.2762026-05-26: 0.2762026-05-28: 0.2852026-05-29: 0.2842026-05-30: 0.2842026-05-31: 0.2842026-06-01: 0.2842026-06-02: 0.284 2026-05-19 2026-06-02 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 28%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Elder, Bryce · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 50%50%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Elder, Bryce · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 28.3%4-Seam Fastball: 25.4%Sinker: 24.5%Cutter: 11.7%Changeup: 10.1% MIX SL 28%FF 25%SI 25%FC 12%CH 10% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Elder, Bryce · 2026 arsenal snapshot SL: HB 0.1, IVB 3.6SLFF: HB -0.3, IVB 1.4FFSI: HB 0.6, IVB 2.1SIFC: HB 0.1, IVB 1.9FCCH: HB -0.7, IVB 2.8CH horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 28.3% 292 101 qualified
FB 25.4% 262 101 qualified
SI 24.5% 253 102 qualified
FC 11.7% 121 100 limited sample
CH 10.1% 104 95 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 2"
Weight220 lb
Debut2022-04-12
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-2.25
K% Δ+0.005

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching162026-05-274-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.2% K | 4.75 ERAProjection
2026-04-20 @ WSH3 ER / 6 K6.2 IP
2026-04-15 vs MIA0 ER / 7 K5.2 IP
2026-04-04 @ AZ0 ER / 8 K7.0 IP
2026-03-30 vs ATH0 ER / 5 K6.0 IP