Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 160 lb |
| Debut | 2023-07-04 |
Player profile / Chicago Cubs
Daniel Palencia
P · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 160 lb · Age 26
Club Chicago Cubs
Position P
Roster Injured 15-Day
Status IL-15
Traditional line
Season by season
| W | L | ERA | G | GS | SV | IP | SO | WHIP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0 | 1 | 6.14 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 14.2 | 16 | 1.77 |
| 2025 | 1 | 6 | 2.91 | 54 | 0 | 22 | 52.2 | 61 | 1.14 |
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 2.70 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 16.2 | 19 | 1.38 |
| 4 Seasons | 8 | 11 | 3.69 | 110 | 0 | 26 | 112.1 | 129 | 1.29 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
60
Pitching
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.60 |
| ERA current pace | 2.70 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.39 |
| Observed weight | 24% |
ERA
1.75
2.53
3.39
4.25
5.02
FIP
2.72
3.09
3.50
3.92
4.29
K%
21.0%
23.6%
26.4%
29.3%
31.9%
BB%
5.3%
6.8%
8.5%
10.1%
11.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Mithrandir+
Stuff+ and arsenal context
How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.
Fastball Stuff+106
79
Mithrandir Stuff+106
81
Slider Stuff+97
20
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Optimization map
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
4Pitches
2026Season
66%Top usage
ride
armside
gloveside
+Arsenal gap
+Shape contrast
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Pitch arsenal
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 74.7% | 145 | 106 | limited sample |
| SL | 22.7% | 44 | 97 | limited sample |
| SI | 2.6% | 5 | 113 | limited sample |
Method note
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Live layer
Delta / regression
No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Pitcher Projections 202625.8% K | 3.39 ERA | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs MIL0 ER / 2 K | 0.2 IP |
| 2026-04-12 vs PIT0 ER / 2 K | 1.0 IP |
| 2026-04-11 vs PIT0 ER / 0 K | 1.0 IP |
| 2026-04-05 @ CLE0 ER / 1 K | 1.0 IP |
| 2026-04-01 vs LAA0 ER / 1 K | 1.0 IP |