Mithrandir Metrics
Player Norfolk Tides Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Norfolk Tides

Trey Gibson

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 5", 240 lb · Age 24

Cards
4
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Norfolk Tides Position P Roster profile Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2026137.3687033.0301.91
1 Seasons137.3687033.0301.91
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
6
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
18
Arsenal6 metrics
48
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason4.44
ERA current pace7.36
ERA rolling p505.62
Observed weight40%
ERA
3.73 4.63 5.62 6.61 7.50
FIP
3.17 4.12 5.18 6.25 7.20
K%
11.7% 14.6% 17.8% 20.9% 23.8%
BB%
8.1% 9.6% 11.3% 12.9% 14.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.93
1
ERA7.36
3
BB%15.4%
3 -42 vs proj
K%18.5%
23 -22 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.391
2 -76 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.6%
23 -37 vs proj
Fastball velo94.9
58
Hard-hit allowed48.1%
4
Whiff%22.0%
41
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Curveball Stuff+106
97
Cutter Stuff+107
95
Fastball Stuff+94
10
Mithrandir Stuff+100
36
Sinker Stuff+93
7
Slider Stuff+101
42
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Gibson, Trey · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.391 2026-07-07: 0.3912026-07-08: 0.3912026-07-09: 0.3912026-07-10: 0.3912026-07-11: 0.3912026-07-12: 0.3912026-07-13: 0.3912026-07-14: 0.3912026-07-15: 0.3912026-07-16: 0.3912026-07-17: 0.3912026-07-18: 0.391 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 25%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Gibson, Trey · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 19%19%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 48%48% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Gibson, Trey · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 25.4%Slider: 21.0%Cutter: 19.2%4-Seam Fastball: 19.2%Curveball: 13.2%Sweeper: 1.9% SI25% · 95 mphprimary pitch SI 25%SL 21%FC 19%FF 19%CU 13%ST 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Gibson, Trey · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Sinker: 25% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 94.6 mphSI95 mphSlider: 21% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 42″ drop, 87.8 mphSL88 mphCutter: 19% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 91.9 mphFC92 mph4-Seam Fastball: 19% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 95.4 mphFF95 mphCurveball: 13% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 52″ drop, 84.3 mphCU84 mphSweeper: 2% usage, 15″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 84.8 mphST85 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 24.1% 87 93 limited sample
SL 21.1% 76 101 limited sample
FB 20.5% 74 94 limited sample
FC 19.1% 69 107 limited sample
CB 15.2% 55 106 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height6' 5"
Weight240 lb
Debut2026-05-03
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+2.83
K% Δ-0.031

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.398
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.391

Gibson’s wOBA-against sits at 0.398, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.391 — a gap of 0.006, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 33 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching42026-06-30Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.6% K | 4.53 ERAProjection