Mithrandir Metrics
Player Pittsburgh Pirates Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates

Jacob Gonzalez

1B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 205 lb · Age 24

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Pittsburgh Pirates Position 1B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202698112120.241.320.356.676
1 Seasons98112120.241.320.356.676
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
41
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
42
Defense2 metrics
71
Speed1 metrics
29
Plate skills10 metrics
35
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.248
xwOBA current pace0.306
xwOBA rolling p500.266
Observed weight32%
xwOBA
0.211 0.237 0.266 0.295 0.321
wOBA
0.262 0.290 0.321 0.352 0.380
ISO
0.054 0.084 0.117 0.151 0.181
K%
12.4% 17.0% 22.2% 27.4% 32.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.0%
4 -21 vs proj
Exit velocity86.8
32
Hard-hit%42.0%
64 +30 vs proj
xBA0.326
57
xSLG0.484
40
xwOBA0.306
47
BB%7.8%
40
Bat speed69.0
40
K%21.6%
55 +21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 1B
77
Range Runs1.6 · 1B
65
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.6 · 1B
29
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.3% · rebadged research
15
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.6% · rebadged research
56
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
34
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.309 · borderline
14
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
47
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.300 · validated thin sample
12
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
83
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
59
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.381 · validated
11
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
18
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Gonzalez, Jacob · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.306 2026-07-07: 0.3162026-07-08: 0.3162026-07-09: 0.3122026-07-10: 0.3122026-07-11: 0.3072026-07-12: 0.3072026-07-13: 0.3072026-07-14: 0.3062026-07-15: 0.3062026-07-16: 0.3062026-07-17: 0.3062026-07-18: 0.306 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

23 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Gonzalez, Jacob · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsOppo 17% LF 330 CF 400 RF 335 2026-03-17 · sac bunt · SI · ground_ball · EV 26.7 / LA 1.02026-03-19 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA -3.02026-03-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 81.5 / LA -1.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 0.02026-05-31 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -5.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 41.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 35.02026-06-05 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.0 / LA 2.02026-06-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 87.3 / LA -8.02026-06-20 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 97.1 / LA -7.02026-06-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 55.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 39.02026-06-24 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 68.5 / LA 24.02026-06-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.6 / LA 8.02026-06-26 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 59.6 / LA 37.02026-06-26 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 6.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 19.02026-06-26 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 35.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 33.02026-06-30 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 65.0 / LA 32.02026-06-30 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 19.02026-06-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.4 / LA 13.02026-07-01 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 79.0 / LA -11.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Gonzalez, Jacob · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 34%34%Whiff: 18%18%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 82%82%Hard hit: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height6' 2"
Weight205 lb
Debut2026-05-31
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.010
wOBA Δ+0.025

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.4σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.321
xwOBA (deserved)0.306

Gonzalez’s wOBA sits at 0.321, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.306 — a gap of 0.015, -0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 102 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-06-30Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.296 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-03-22 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-2
2026-03-19 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-1
2026-03-11 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-1