Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CWS
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.269 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.448 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.274 |
| Observed weight | 3% |
xwOBA
0.172
0.220
0.274
0.328
0.376
wOBA
0.438
0.546
0.667
0.787
0.895
ISO
0.027
0.068
0.114
0.160
0.201
K%
8.1%
14.6%
21.8%
29.0%
35.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7% · rebadged research
56
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 42.9% · rebadged research
2
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
29
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
58
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline87
7
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
10 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.291 | 0.120 to 0.329 | +/- 0.105 |
| ISO | 0.121 | 0.019 to 0.198 | +/- 0.090 |
| Barrel% | 3.8% | 0.2% to 5.2% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.7% | 11.3% to 38.4% | +/- 13.6% |
| K% | 25.4% | 7.3% to 35.7% | +/- 14.2% |
| BB% | 7.5% | 1.1% to 9.1% | +/- 4.0% |
| BABIP | 0.301 | 0.182 to 0.367 | +/- 0.093 |
vs LHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |