Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 185 lb |
| Debut | 2024-09-10 |
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals
Thomas Saggese
LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 185 lb · Age 24
Club St. Louis Cardinals
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | .204 | .250 | .306 | .556 |
| 2025 | 295 | 25 | 71 | 2 | 3 | .258 | .299 | .342 | .641 |
| 2026 | 104 | 17 | 23 | 4 | 2 | .245 | .308 | .426 | .734 |
| 3 Seasons | 451 | 47 | 104 | 7 | 5 | .249 | .296 | .356 | .652 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
71
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.283 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.309 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.292 |
| Observed weight | 34% |
xwOBA
0.262
0.276
0.292
0.308
0.322
wOBA
0.298
0.325
0.355
0.385
0.412
ISO
0.121
0.139
0.160
0.180
0.198
K%
23.0%
24.9%
27.0%
29.0%
30.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.8%
86
+30 vs proj
Exit velocity89.7
73
Hard-hit%41.7%
66
xBA0.330
63
xSLG0.624
85
xwOBA0.309
55
BB%7.8%
41
+19 vs proj
Bat speed70.6
66
K%28.7%
21
-21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.4 · LF
59
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
24
Range Runs0.1 · LF
48
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.9 · LF
62
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.9% · rebadged research
23
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.0% · rebadged research
80
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
33
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
24
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
59
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
79
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
50
Resists FastballwOBA 0.324 · validated
77
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
39
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
38
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
68 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.007 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.054 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Saggese’s wOBA sits at 0.355, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.309 — a gap of 0.047, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 115 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 3 | 2026-09-03 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.301 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-20 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 3 K, R |
| 2026-04-13 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | K |
| 2026-04-12 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |