Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 23 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 185 lb |
| Debut | 2025-05-25 |
Player profile / Texas Rangers
Alejandro Osuna
LF · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 9", 185 lb · Age 23
Club Texas Rangers
Position LF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 176 | 12 | 32 | 2 | 5 | .212 | .313 | .278 | .591 |
| 2026 | 191 | 21 | 42 | 1 | 4 | .255 | .353 | .297 | .650 |
| 2 Seasons | 367 | 33 | 74 | 3 | 9 | .234 | .333 | .288 | .621 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
26
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.315 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.312 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.314 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
xwOBA
0.280
0.296
0.314
0.331
0.347
wOBA
0.312
0.332
0.354
0.377
0.397
ISO
0.064
0.080
0.097
0.115
0.131
K%
13.2%
15.1%
17.1%
19.1%
20.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.0%
4
-42 vs proj
Exit velocity86.7
31
Hard-hit%31.5%
19
-24 vs proj
xBA0.310
36
xSLG0.378
7
xwOBA0.312
56
-17 vs proj
BB%8.2%
46
-25 vs proj
Bat speed69.8
51
K%13.0%
93
+29 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.1 · LF
6
Arm Strength88.4 · LF
15
Outs Above Avg-6.0 · LF
1
Range Runs-5.8 · LF
4
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.5 · LF
82
SB Success Rate50.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.9% · rebadged research
47
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.7% · rebadged research
43
Correct Decisions66.1% · rebadged research
50
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
80
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
23
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.295 · validated thin sample
17
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · insufficient sample
33
Resists FastballwOBA 0.310 · validated
93
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
19
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
44
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
95 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.020 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.022 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Osuna’s wOBA sits at 0.354, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.312 — a gap of 0.042, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 207 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Williamson, Ben TB · R | 0.76 | Barrel rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Freeman, Tyler COL · R | 0.72 | Sweet-spot rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Rengifo, Luis MIL · L | 0.66 | Bat speedChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Winn, Masyn STL · R | 0.66 | Sweet-spot ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-05-20 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 |