Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 22 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2025-06-09 |
Player profile / Boston Red Sox
Roman Anthony
LF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 3", 200 lb · Age 22
Club Boston Red Sox
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 303 | 48 | 75 | 8 | 4 | .292 | .396 | .463 | .859 |
| 2026 | 154 | 17 | 35 | 3 | 2 | .267 | .377 | .420 | .797 |
| 2 Seasons | 457 | 65 | 110 | 11 | 6 | .284 | .389 | .448 | .837 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
91
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.324 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.366 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.342 |
| Observed weight | 43% |
xwOBA
0.306
0.323
0.342
0.361
0.378
wOBA
0.348
0.370
0.396
0.421
0.444
ISO
0.121
0.139
0.159
0.179
0.196
K%
20.1%
22.0%
24.0%
26.0%
27.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.5%
75
Exit velocity92.9
97
Hard-hit%52.0%
96
xBA0.397
97
xSLG0.625
85
xwOBA0.366
96
BB%14.2%
95
+17 vs proj
Bat speed74.0
94
K%24.3%
42
+18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength92.9 · LF
47
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
24
Arm Runs1.0 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs-0.5 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.6 · DH
53
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.4% · rebadged research
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.6% · rebadged research
16
Correct Decisions66.3% · rebadged research
53
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.321 · borderline
8
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.269 · insufficient sample
75
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
43
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.348 · insufficient sample
14
Resists FastballwOBA 0.356 · validated
22
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
68
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
66
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
101 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.013 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.043 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Anthony’s wOBA sits at 0.396, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.366 — a gap of 0.030, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 169 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-09-02 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 1 | 2026-09-01 | 5 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +3.087 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.353 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 vs DET0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | 3 BB, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | BB, K, 2 R |
| 2026-04-14 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, K |
| 2026-04-13 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | 2B, 2 BB, HBP |