Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / BOS · 2026

Anthony, Roman

Young power bat with breakout ceiling

Primary
0.353 xwOBA
Range
0.292 to 0.396
Live Δ
yes
Team BOS Archetype Impact slugger Age 22 Status IL-10
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.324
xwOBA current pace0.353
xwOBA rolling p500.335
Observed weight40%
xwOBA
0.298 0.316 0.335 0.355 0.373
wOBA
0.309 0.334 0.361 0.387 0.412
ISO
0.099 0.117 0.137 0.157 0.176
K%
20.2% 22.1% 24.2% 26.3% 28.2%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%15.2%
95 +22 vs proj
Barrel%5.5%
56 -23 vs proj
Bat speed74.0
95
Exit velocity92.5
93
Hard-hit%49.4%
88
K%24.8%
35
xBA0.377
89
xSLG0.590
72
xwOBA0.353
81
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength92.9 · LF
58
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
20
Arm Runs1.0 · LF
Limited
Range Runs-0.5 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.4 · LF
53
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Limited
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.0% · rebadged research
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.3% · rebadged research
11
Correct Decisions65.6% · rebadged research
44
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.307 · borderline
14
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.269 · insufficient sample
77
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
68
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
59
Resists FastballwOBA 0.350 · validated
32
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346 · validated
78
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
66
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Anthony, Roman · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3532026-05-19: 0.3532026-05-21: 0.3532026-05-23: 0.3532026-05-24: 0.3532026-05-25: 0.3532026-05-26: 0.3532026-05-28: 0.3532026-05-29: 0.3532026-05-30: 0.3532026-05-31: 0.3532026-06-01: 0.353 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

84 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Anthony, Roman · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsPull 10%Center field third: 80% of plotted batted ballsCenter 80%Right field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsOppo 11% LF 310 CF 390 RF 302 2026-03-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.5 / LA 14.02026-03-21 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 26.02026-03-23 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 103.5 / LA 14.02026-03-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 80.0 / LA 12.02026-03-23 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 45.02026-03-24 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA 8.02026-03-24 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 2.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 3.02026-03-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 110.2 / LA 3.02026-03-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 88.0 / LA 12.02026-03-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 112.3 / LA -9.02026-03-28 · field out · FC · ground_ball2026-03-28 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA -4.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -13.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 25.02026-03-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 66.5 / LA 14.02026-03-30 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA -1.02026-03-30 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 24.02026-04-01 · home run · SL · line_drive · EV 106.9 / LA 32.02026-04-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 59.1 / LA 10.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 51.02026-04-03 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 1.02026-04-04 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 4.02026-04-04 · triple · FC · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 14.02026-04-04 · field out · CU · popup · EV 84.1 / LA 46.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 45.6 / LA -52.02026-04-05 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 58.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 63.6 / LA -28.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 68.9 / LA -8.02026-04-06 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 25.02026-04-06 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 78.6 / LA 19.02026-04-06 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 31.02026-04-06 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.5 / LA 42.02026-04-06 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 84.2 / LA 5.02026-04-07 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 8.02026-04-08 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.6 / LA 19.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.5 / LA -20.02026-04-08 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.4 / LA -19.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 48.02026-04-11 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 11.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -5.02026-04-12 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 81.5 / LA 30.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.0 / LA -1.02026-04-12 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 90.4 / LA 11.02026-04-12 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.1 / LA -8.02026-04-13 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 107.7 / LA 18.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 30.02026-04-14 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 105.1 / LA 12.02026-04-14 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 104.5 / LA 8.02026-04-14 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA -10.02026-04-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA -15.02026-04-15 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA -1.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 105.6 / LA 15.02026-04-17 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 90.1 / LA 45.02026-04-17 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 45.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 22.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA -11.02026-04-18 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 74.4 / LA 16.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -27.02026-04-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA -1.02026-04-20 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 74.5 / LA 15.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.2 / LA 8.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA -43.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 110.7 / LA 0.02026-04-27 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 66.3 / LA -51.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.7 / LA 19.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.9 / LA -18.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 56.02026-04-28 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 79.3 / LA -30.02026-04-29 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA -12.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.3 / LA -2.02026-04-29 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 76.4 / LA 24.02026-05-01 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 100.9 / LA 15.02026-05-01 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 95.8 / LA 12.02026-05-01 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA -6.02026-05-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 77.9 / LA 39.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.5 / LA -26.02026-05-02 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 20.02026-05-03 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 37.02026-05-03 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 110.5 / LA 26.02026-05-03 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 4.02026-05-03 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.7 / LA -25.02026-05-03 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 25.02026-05-04 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 79.6 / LA 11.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Anthony, Roman · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 33.3° Length 7.5 ft Ideal path 48% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Anthony, Roman · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 12.0° Direction -1.3° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Anthony, Roman · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 75.4 mph Hard swing rate 52% Whiff / swing 28% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Anthony, Roman · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 21%21%Whiff: 27%27%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 73%73%Hard hit: 49%49% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.231 vs 0.190 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
3
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.000
wOBA Δ+0.008
Sample145 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances363----
Home Runs10----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3530.292 to 0.396+/- 0.052
ISO0.1730.115 to 0.237+/- 0.061
Barrel%7.6%4.4% to 9.8%+/- 2.7%
Hard-Hit%55.3%44.1% to 60.0%+/- 8.0%
K%27.7%19.1% to 31.1%+/- 6.0%
BB%11.1%7.9% to 14.5%+/- 3.3%
BABIP0.3290.281 to 0.381+/- 0.050
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

105 career PA

xwOBA0.190
K%19.9%
BB%6.6%
Barrel4.4%
vs RHP

223 career PA

xwOBA0.231
K%15.5%
BB%9.2%
Barrel5.5%