Mithrandir Metrics
Player Detroit Tigers Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Detroit Tigers

Hao-Yu Lee

2B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 190 lb · Age 23

Cards
12
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Detroit Tigers Position 2B Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026264276682.270.316.426.742
1 Seasons264276682.270.316.426.742
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
63
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
56
Defense3 metrics
11
Speed1 metrics
72
Plate skills10 metrics
60
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-01
xwOBA preseason0.257
xwOBA current pace0.307
xwOBA rolling p500.284
Observed weight55%
xwOBA
0.230 0.256 0.284 0.312 0.337
wOBA
0.290 0.308 0.327 0.347 0.364
ISO
0.075 0.097 0.121 0.145 0.167
K%
15.3% 18.6% 22.2% 25.9% 29.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.4%
73 +41 vs proj
Exit velocity89.4
69
Hard-hit%41.2%
63 +28 vs proj
xBA0.322
55
xSLG0.548
66
xwOBA0.307
53
BB%6.4%
27
Bat speed69.3
45
K%22.7%
50 +25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength83.3 · 2B
19
Outs Above Avg-4.0 · 2B
9
Range Runs-8.1 · 2B
4
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.2 · 2B
72
SB Success Rate33.3% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.2% · rebadged research
60
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.7% · rebadged research
65
Correct Decisions67.4% · rebadged research
64
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
24
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · insufficient sample
78
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
83
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.298 · insufficient sample
97
Resists FastballwOBA 0.350 · validated
27
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363 · validated
32
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Lee, Hao-Yu · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.303 0.307 2026-08-21: 0.2932026-08-22: 0.2932026-08-23: 0.2932026-08-24: 0.2932026-08-25: 0.3042026-08-26: 0.3042026-08-27: 0.3052026-08-28: 0.3052026-08-29: 0.3052026-08-30: 0.3032026-08-31: 0.3022026-09-01: 0.307 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

111 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Lee, Hao-Yu · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 9% of plotted batted ballsPull 9%Center field third: 64% of plotted batted ballsCenter 64%Right field third: 27% of plotted batted ballsOppo 27% LF 345 CF 420 RF 330 2026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 56.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 27.02026-04-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 91.9 / LA -37.02026-04-19 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 90.1 / LA 36.02026-04-20 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 107.6 / LA 20.02026-04-20 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 91.8 / LA 18.02026-04-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA 3.02026-04-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 110.6 / LA 10.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 69.7 / LA 61.02026-04-24 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 79.1 / LA 7.02026-04-25 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 36.02026-04-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 26.02026-04-28 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 102.8 / LA 17.02026-04-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 43.6 / LA -69.02026-04-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 46.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 18.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.3 / LA 38.02026-05-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 81.1 / LA 26.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 36.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 52.02026-05-03 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -17.02026-05-04 · field out · FC · popup · EV 84.6 / LA 62.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 31.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 39.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 76.4 / LA 29.02026-05-05 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 5.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 48.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 48.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 42.02026-05-10 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 26.02026-05-12 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 90.5 / LA 15.02026-05-12 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 71.9 / LA 25.02026-05-15 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA -7.02026-05-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -28.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 24.02026-05-19 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 13.02026-05-19 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 84.0 / LA 27.02026-05-20 · fielders choice · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.9 / LA -9.02026-05-20 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 73.6 / LA 49.02026-05-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 65.6 / LA 8.02026-05-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.9 / LA -20.02026-05-22 · double · ST · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 1.02026-05-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.2 / LA -54.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 10.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.2 / LA 32.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.3 / LA -22.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 40.02026-05-27 · field out · KC · popup · EV 85.2 / LA 62.02026-05-27 · field out · KC · popup · EV 65.1 / LA 68.02026-05-27 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 80.8 / LA 25.02026-05-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA -7.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 16.02026-06-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.8 / LA 33.02026-06-01 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 65.6 / LA -1.02026-06-01 · field out · SL · popup · EV 78.1 / LA 73.02026-06-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.4 / LA 18.02026-06-15 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 81.4 / LA 7.02026-06-15 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA -41.02026-06-15 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 64.9 / LA 21.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 50.02026-06-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 40.02026-06-20 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 46.02026-06-20 · field out · SV · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 37.02026-06-22 · sac bunt · FC · ground_ball · EV 32.7 / LA -9.02026-06-22 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 80.5 / LA 24.02026-06-22 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 87.3 / LA 16.02026-06-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 11.02026-06-24 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 101.6 / LA 14.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA -19.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 31.02026-06-30 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 83.7 / LA 20.02026-07-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -6.02026-07-27 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -20.02026-07-27 · sac fly · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 28.02026-07-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA -10.02026-08-02 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.7 / LA -36.02026-08-02 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 97.8 / LA 17.02026-08-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.2 / LA 52.02026-08-02 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.3 / LA 10.02026-08-02 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 2.02026-08-13 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 93.7 / LA 20.02026-08-15 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 57.2 / LA -74.02026-08-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 44.02026-08-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 73.8 / LA -9.02026-08-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 1.02026-08-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.7 / LA -58.02026-08-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA -3.02026-08-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 3.02026-08-19 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 4.02026-08-21 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA -8.02026-08-21 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 100.6 / LA 6.02026-08-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 51.02026-08-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA -14.02026-08-22 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 110.0 / LA 27.02026-08-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 47.02026-08-23 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 99.4 / LA 22.02026-08-23 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 32.02026-08-23 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 29.02026-08-23 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 33.02026-08-23 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 11.02026-08-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA 5.02026-08-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA -39.02026-08-26 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 28.02026-08-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 3.02026-08-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 66.3 / LA 70.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.0 / LA 66.02026-08-29 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.3 / LA 3.02026-08-29 · field out · CH · popup · EV 74.2 / LA 68.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · popup · EV 69.0 / LA 72.02026-08-31 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.6 / LA 26.02026-08-31 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA -15.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Lee, Hao-Yu · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 25%25%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 75%75%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age23
Height5' 9"
Weight190 lb
Debut2026-04-17
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.010
wOBA Δ+0.030

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.327
xwOBA (deserved)0.307

Lee’s wOBA sits at 0.327, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.307 — a gap of 0.021, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 264 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-07-21Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding112026-08-291 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.458
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.297 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-08-15 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-3 | R
2026-05-20 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K
2026-04-20 @ BOS0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2B, K, RBI
2026-04-17 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 1 E0-3 | K