Mithrandir Metrics
Player Detroit Tigers Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Detroit Tigers

Hao-Yu Lee

2B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 190 lb · Age 23

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Detroit Tigers Position 2B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026161113941.255.288.392.680
1 Seasons161113941.255.288.392.680
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
35
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
31
Defense3 metrics
17
Speed1 metrics
73
Plate skills10 metrics
62
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.262
xwOBA current pace0.271
xwOBA rolling p500.266
Observed weight42%
xwOBA
0.199 0.231 0.266 0.301 0.333
wOBA
0.257 0.279 0.304 0.329 0.351
ISO
0.045 0.072 0.102 0.133 0.160
K%
15.1% 19.3% 23.9% 28.6% 32.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
50 +20 vs proj
Exit velocity86.9
34
Hard-hit%33.9%
28
xBA0.308
33
xSLG0.502
47
xwOBA0.271
17 -23 vs proj
BB%4.5%
11 -15 vs proj
Bat speed68.2
30
K%26.1%
31
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.6 · 2B
22
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 2B
12
Range Runs-3.7 · 2B
16
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.2 · 2B
73
SB Success Rate33.3% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.2% · rebadged research
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.1% · rebadged research
77
Correct Decisions67.6% · rebadged research
63
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · borderline
29
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
80
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.309 · insufficient sample
95
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338 · validated
50
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
54
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
63
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Lee, Hao-Yu · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.271 2026-07-06: 0.2732026-07-07: 0.2692026-07-08: 0.2692026-07-09: 0.2672026-07-10: 0.2692026-07-11: 0.2712026-07-12: 0.2712026-07-13: 0.2712026-07-14: 0.2712026-07-15: 0.2712026-07-16: 0.2712026-07-17: 0.271 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

71 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Lee, Hao-Yu · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 7% of plotted batted ballsPull 7%Center field third: 63% of plotted batted ballsCenter 63%Right field third: 30% of plotted batted ballsOppo 30% LF 345 CF 420 RF 330 2026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 56.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 27.02026-04-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 91.9 / LA -37.02026-04-19 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 90.1 / LA 36.02026-04-20 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 107.6 / LA 20.02026-04-20 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 91.8 / LA 18.02026-04-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA 3.02026-04-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 110.6 / LA 10.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 69.7 / LA 61.02026-04-24 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 79.1 / LA 7.02026-04-25 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 36.02026-04-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 26.02026-04-28 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 102.8 / LA 17.02026-04-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 43.6 / LA -69.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 18.02026-04-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 46.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.3 / LA 38.02026-05-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 81.1 / LA 26.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 52.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 36.02026-05-03 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -17.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 39.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 31.02026-05-04 · field out · FC · popup · EV 84.6 / LA 62.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 76.4 / LA 29.02026-05-05 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 5.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 48.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 48.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 42.02026-05-10 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 26.02026-05-12 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 71.9 / LA 25.02026-05-12 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 90.5 / LA 15.02026-05-15 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA -7.02026-05-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -28.02026-05-19 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 84.0 / LA 27.02026-05-19 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 13.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 24.02026-05-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 65.6 / LA 8.02026-05-20 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 73.6 / LA 49.02026-05-20 · fielders choice · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.9 / LA -9.02026-05-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.9 / LA -20.02026-05-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.2 / LA -54.02026-05-22 · double · ST · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 1.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 10.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.2 / LA 32.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.3 / LA -22.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 40.02026-05-27 · field out · KC · popup · EV 85.2 / LA 62.02026-05-27 · field out · KC · popup · EV 65.1 / LA 68.02026-05-27 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 80.8 / LA 25.02026-05-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA -7.02026-06-01 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 65.6 / LA -1.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 16.02026-06-01 · field out · SL · popup · EV 78.1 / LA 73.02026-06-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.4 / LA 18.02026-06-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.8 / LA 33.02026-06-15 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 81.4 / LA 7.02026-06-15 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA -41.02026-06-15 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 64.9 / LA 21.02026-06-20 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 46.02026-06-20 · field out · SV · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 37.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 50.02026-06-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 40.02026-06-22 · sac bunt · FC · ground_ball · EV 32.7 / LA -9.02026-06-22 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 80.5 / LA 24.02026-06-22 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 87.3 / LA 16.02026-06-24 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 101.6 / LA 14.02026-06-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 11.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA -19.02026-06-30 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 83.7 / LA 20.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 31.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Lee, Hao-Yu · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 34%34%Whiff: 28%28%Zone contact: 84%84%Contact: 72%72%Hard hit: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age23
Height5' 9"
Weight190 lb
Debut2026-04-17
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.026
wOBA Δ+0.007

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.9σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.304
xwOBA (deserved)0.271

Lee’s wOBA sits at 0.304, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.271 — a gap of 0.033, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 157 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.297 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K
2026-04-20 @ BOS0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2B, K, RBI
2026-04-17 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 1 E0-3 | K