Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / DET · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team DET
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 23
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.262 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.281 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.268 |
| Observed weight | 28% |
xwOBA
0.187
0.225
0.268
0.310
0.348
wOBA
0.203
0.232
0.264
0.296
0.324
ISO
0.025
0.058
0.095
0.131
0.164
K%
13.2%
18.2%
23.9%
29.5%
34.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%4.6%
11
Barrel%8.0%
83
+52 vs proj
Bat speed68.0
27
Exit velocity88.5
51
Hard-hit%32.2%
20
K%27.6%
23
xBA0.301
30
xSLG0.564
64
xwOBA0.281
23
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.6 · 2B
24
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 2B
27
Range Runs-1.9 · 2B
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.1 · 2B
72
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.1% · rebadged research
47
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.3% · rebadged research
48
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
54
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.276 · borderline
72
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
64
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
66
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · insufficient sample
87
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
45
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
55
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
56 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.033 |
| Sample | 87 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 203 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.297 | 0.098 to 0.317 | +/- 0.110 |
| ISO | 0.124 | 0.020 to 0.211 | +/- 0.095 |
| Barrel% | 3.8% | 0.2% to 5.0% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.4% | 7.9% to 37.4% | +/- 14.7% |
| K% | 27.8% | 7.8% to 37.2% | +/- 14.7% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 0.9% to 10.0% | +/- 4.6% |
| BABIP | 0.294 | 0.142 to 0.371 | +/- 0.114 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
7 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |