Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / DET · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team DET
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 23
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
35
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.262 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.271 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.266 |
| Observed weight | 42% |
xwOBA
0.199
0.231
0.266
0.301
0.333
wOBA
0.257
0.279
0.304
0.329
0.351
ISO
0.045
0.072
0.102
0.133
0.160
K%
15.1%
19.3%
23.9%
28.6%
32.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
51
+21 vs proj
Exit velocity86.9
34
Hard-hit%33.9%
28
xBA0.308
33
xSLG0.502
47
xwOBA0.271
17
-23 vs proj
BB%4.5%
11
Bat speed68.2
30
K%26.1%
31
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.6 · 2B
22
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 2B
12
Range Runs-3.7 · 2B
16
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.2 · 2B
73
SB Success Rate33.3% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.2% · rebadged research
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.1% · rebadged research
77
Correct Decisions67.6% · rebadged research
63
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · borderline
29
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
80
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.309 · insufficient sample
95
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338 · validated
50
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
54
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
63
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
71 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.026 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.007 |
| Sample | 157 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 203 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.297 | 0.098 to 0.317 | +/- 0.110 |
| ISO | 0.126 | 0.020 to 0.211 | +/- 0.095 |
| Barrel% | 3.8% | 0.2% to 5.0% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.4% | 8.0% to 37.4% | +/- 14.7% |
| K% | 27.8% | 7.8% to 37.2% | +/- 14.7% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 0.9% to 10.0% | +/- 4.6% |
| BABIP | 0.294 | 0.142 to 0.377 | +/- 0.117 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
7 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |