Mithrandir Metrics
Player Chicago White Sox Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Chicago White Sox

Noah Schultz

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 10", 240 lb · Age 22

Cards
10
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Chicago White Sox Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2026365.601111053.0471.36
1 Seasons365.601111053.0471.36
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
22
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
28
Arsenal6 metrics
54
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-19
ERA preseason3.63
ERA current pace5.60
ERA rolling p504.60
Observed weight49%
ERA
2.87 3.69 4.60 5.51 6.33
FIP
3.26 3.88 4.57 5.26 5.88
K%
14.2% 16.7% 19.5% 22.3% 24.9%
BB%
8.9% 10.2% 11.6% 13.1% 14.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.39
37
ERA5.60
16
BB%12.5%
15
K%20.3%
35 -25 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.371
7 -71 vs proj
Barrel allowed11.5%
9 -34 vs proj
Fastball velo95.2
63
Hard-hit allowed39.9%
43
Whiff%20.0%
25 -36 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-19
Mithrandir Stuff+103
61
Changeup Stuff+104
63
Cutter Stuff+102
53
Fastball Stuff+102
43
Sinker Stuff+104
69
Slider Stuff+100
36
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Schultz, Noah · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.371 2026-07-08: 0.3572026-07-09: 0.3722026-07-10: 0.3722026-07-11: 0.3722026-07-12: 0.3722026-07-13: 0.3722026-07-14: 0.3712026-07-15: 0.3712026-07-16: 0.3712026-07-17: 0.3712026-07-18: 0.3712026-07-19: 0.371 2026-07-08 2026-07-19 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 25%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Schultz, Noah · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Schultz, Noah · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 24.5%4-Seam Fastball: 23.6%Sweeper: 21.8%Cutter: 20.0%Changeup: 10.1% SI25% · 95 mphprimary pitch SI 25%FF 24%ST 22%FC 20%CH 10% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Schultz, Noah · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 25% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 95.1 mphSI95 mph4-Seam Fastball: 24% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 95.3 mphFF95 mphSweeper: 22% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 40″ drop, 82.6 mphST83 mphCutter: 20% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 89.6 mphFC90 mphChangeup: 10% usage, 16″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 89.1 mphCH89 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 25.3% 187 104 limited sample
FB 24.0% 177 102 limited sample
SL 23.3% 172 100 limited sample
FC 18.4% 136 102 limited sample
CH 9.1% 67 104 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age22
Height6' 10"
Weight240 lb
Debut2026-04-14
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+1.12
K% Δ-0.037

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.5σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.356
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.371

Schultz’s wOBA-against sits at 0.356, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.371 — a gap of 0.014, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 52 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching102026-07-12Command and chase profile drove the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202624.0% K | 4.42 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 vs TB3 ER / 4 K4.1 IP