Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / CWS · 2026

Schultz, Noah

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
24.0% K%
Range
4.6% to 24.6%
Live Δ
yes
Team CWS Archetype Volatile contact Age 23 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-02
23
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
28
Arsenal6 metrics
61
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-02
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.45
28
ERA6.06
12
BB%10.6%
31
K%20.2%
37
xwOBA allowed0.364
8
Barrel allowed9.4%
22
Fastball velo95.1
61
Hard-hit allowed40.6%
34
Whiff%19.6%
23
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-02
Mithrandir Stuff+104
70
Sinker Stuff+106
81
Changeup Stuff+106
80
Cutter Stuff+102
55
Fastball Stuff+102
46
Slider Stuff+100
35
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 26%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Schultz, Noah · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.364 2026-08-22: 0.3642026-08-23: 0.3642026-08-24: 0.3642026-08-25: 0.3642026-08-26: 0.3642026-08-27: 0.3642026-08-28: 0.3642026-08-29: 0.3642026-08-30: 0.3642026-08-31: 0.3642026-09-01: 0.3642026-09-02: 0.364 2026-08-22 2026-09-02 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Schultz, Noah · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Schultz, Noah · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 25.9%4-Seam Fastball: 22.6%Cutter: 21.0%Sweeper: 18.2%Changeup: 10.0%Curveball: 2.3% SI26% · 95 mphprimary pitch SI 26%FF 23%FC 21%ST 18%CH 10%CU 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Schultz, Noah · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 26% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 95.1 mphSI95 mph4-Seam Fastball: 23% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 95.2 mphFF95 mphCutter: 21% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 89.8 mphFC90 mphSweeper: 18% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 82.7 mphST83 mphChangeup: 10% usage, 17″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 89.2 mphCH89 mphCurveball: 2% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 46″ drop, 81.8 mphCU82 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 26.9% 224 106 qualified
FB 22.3% 186 102 limited sample
SL 21.6% 180 100 limited sample
FC 19.9% 166 102 limited sample
CH 8.8% 73 106 limited sample
CB 0.6% 5 104 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Sinker 36%, Cutter 17%, 4-Seam Fastball 15%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--
Sample64.0 IP

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings61.1----
Batters Faced286----
K%24.0%4.6% to 24.6%+/- 10.0%
BB%11.0%6.1% to 15.5%+/- 4.7%
Whiff%24.5%10.5% to 30.7%+/- 10.1%
HR/91.400.05 to 1.41+/- 0.68
xwOBA Against0.2840.043 to 0.272+/- 0.115
Barrel% Allowed8.1%0.6% to 8.3%+/- 3.8%
ERA4.420.53 to 5.42+/- 2.45
FIP4.021.63 to 5.34+/- 1.86
WHIP1.4540.718 to 1.785+/- 0.534
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

2 career BF

xwOBA0.003
K%5.5%
BB%6.4%
Barrel0.1%
vs RHH

9 career BF

xwOBA0.004
K%5.0%
BB%7.3%
Barrel0.1%