Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 21 |
| Height | 5' 7" |
| Weight | 169 lb |
| Debut | 2026-07-07 |
Player profile / Milwaukee Brewers
Luis Lara
RF · Bats/Throws S/R · 5' 7", 169 lb · Age 21
Club Milwaukee Brewers
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 142 | 18 | 35 | 1 | 3 | .276 | .345 | .386 | .731 |
| 1 Seasons | 142 | 18 | 35 | 1 | 3 | .276 | .345 | .386 | .731 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
63
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.260 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.322 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.285 |
| Observed weight | 41% |
xwOBA
0.214
0.248
0.285
0.323
0.357
wOBA
0.295
0.319
0.345
0.371
0.394
ISO
0.040
0.068
0.100
0.132
0.160
K%
14.1%
17.4%
21.1%
24.9%
28.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.9%
36
Exit velocity89.2
66
Hard-hit%44.3%
77
+23 vs proj
xBA0.359
88
xSLG0.477
41
xwOBA0.322
71
+27 vs proj
BB%9.2%
59
+24 vs proj
Bat speed69.4
46
K%20.4%
63
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · RF
47
Arm Strength95.5 · RF
67
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
48
Range Runs1.3 · RF
61
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts2.0 · RF
29
Sprint Speed28.3 · RF
75
SB Success Rate75.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.2% · rebadged research
69
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0% · rebadged research
52
Correct Decisions68.1% · rebadged research
72
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
55
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
76
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.343 · insufficient sample
19
Resists FastballwOBA 0.371 · validated
11
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.341 · validated
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
70
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
53 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.023 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.046 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Lara’s wOBA sits at 0.345, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.322 — a gap of 0.023, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 152 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-08-26 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 17 | 2026-08-31 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.090 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.299 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |