Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / MIL · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIL
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 22
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
49
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.260 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.383 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.274 |
| Observed weight | 11% |
xwOBA
0.171
0.220
0.274
0.328
0.376
wOBA
0.352
0.410
0.475
0.540
0.598
ISO
0.003
0.045
0.092
0.139
0.181
K%
11.4%
16.3%
21.8%
27.3%
32.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · RF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
66
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.4 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · RF
15
Sprint Speed27.9 · RF
65
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
11 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 205 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.299 | 0.096 to 0.325 | +/- 0.114 |
| ISO | 0.136 | 0.012 to 0.210 | +/- 0.099 |
| Barrel% | 4.5% | 0.2% to 5.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.6% | 11.9% to 43.9% | +/- 16.0% |
| K% | 23.0% | 9.2% to 32.5% | +/- 11.6% |
| BB% | 7.3% | 0.6% to 10.0% | +/- 4.7% |
| BABIP | 0.305 | 0.126 to 0.361 | +/- 0.117 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.7% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
17 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.8% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |