Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 20 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 195 lb |
| Debut | 2026-05-17 |
Player profile / Seattle Mariners
Colt Emerson
SS · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 195 lb · Age 20
Club Seattle Mariners
Position SS
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 167 | 17 | 29 | 7 | 3 | .193 | .265 | .380 | .645 |
| 1 Seasons | 167 | 17 | 29 | 7 | 3 | .193 | .265 | .380 | .645 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
22
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.270 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.243 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.259 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
xwOBA
0.202
0.229
0.259
0.289
0.315
wOBA
0.275
0.297
0.321
0.345
0.367
ISO
0.107
0.133
0.162
0.191
0.217
K%
21.5%
25.0%
28.9%
32.9%
36.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.1%
35
Exit velocity86.0
26
Hard-hit%31.2%
19
xBA0.277
13
xSLG0.460
32
xwOBA0.243
6
-40 vs proj
BB%8.8%
53
Bat speed70.4
62
K%33.5%
6
-27 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · SS
48
Arm Strength83.7 · SS
31
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · SS
18
Range Runs-2.5 · SS
24
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.9 · SS
37
SB Success Rate66.7% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.4% · rebadged research
60
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.1% · rebadged research
84
Correct Decisions69.3% · rebadged research
80
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.318 · borderline
8
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
31
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.304 · validated thin sample
8
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · insufficient sample
46
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
59
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.374 · validated
17
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
76
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
41 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.061 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.017 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Emerson’s wOBA sits at 0.321, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.243 — a gap of 0.077, -2.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 170 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.304 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 1 E | 0-3 | BB, 2 K |