Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026
None
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team SEA
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 21
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.270 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.282 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.273 |
| Observed weight | 20% |
xwOBA
0.194
0.231
0.273
0.314
0.352
wOBA
0.396
0.437
0.483
0.529
0.570
ISO
0.089
0.125
0.165
0.205
0.241
K%
15.2%
20.1%
25.5%
30.9%
35.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%13.0%
86
+42 vs proj
Barrel%3.7%
30
Bat speed70.8
69
Exit velocity88.8
53
Hard-hit%37.5%
40
K%25.9%
30
xBA0.291
23
xSLG0.461
33
xwOBA0.282
25
-19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 3B
27
Range Runs-0.9 · 3B
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.5 · 3B
56
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.7% · rebadged research
88
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.2% · rebadged research
70
Correct Decisions73.3% · rebadged research
95
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
31
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
53
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.290 · validated thin sample
19
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
57
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
68
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.379 · validated
11
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
89
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
29 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.022 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.179 |
| Sample | 54 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 200 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.304 | 0.140 to 0.333 | +/- 0.097 |
| ISO | 0.141 | 0.024 to 0.209 | +/- 0.092 |
| Barrel% | 3.5% | 0.2% to 5.8% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.7% | 13.9% to 41.5% | +/- 13.8% |
| K% | 25.9% | 9.8% to 35.2% | +/- 12.7% |
| BB% | 8.6% | 1.4% to 10.5% | +/- 4.6% |
| BABIP | 0.293 | 0.133 to 0.353 | +/- 0.110 |
vs LHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.4% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |