Mithrandir Metrics
Player Las Vegas Aviators Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Las Vegas Aviators

Luis Morales

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 200 lb · Age 23

Cards
7
Modules
1
Live Δ
--
Club Las Vegas Aviators Position P Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025433.14109048.2431.15
20260214.463209.173.11
2 Seasons454.971311058.0501.47
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
13
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal5 metrics
13
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason3.90
ERA current pace14.46
ERA rolling p506.74
Observed weight27%
ERA
5.43 6.05 6.74 7.42 8.04
FIP
5.11 5.58 6.11 6.63 7.10
K%
15.8% 18.0% 20.5% 23.0% 25.2%
BB%
9.1% 10.3% 11.7% 13.0% 14.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Changeup Stuff+76
0
Fastball Stuff+97
18
Mithrandir Stuff+93
9
Sinker Stuff+88
3
Slider Stuff+100
37
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 42%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Morales, Luis · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 41%41%Zone: 40%40%Whiff: 19%19%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 39%39%Hard hit allowed: 46%46% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Morales, Luis · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 41.6%Sweeper: 18.1%Sinker: 17.3%Slider: 12.3%Changeup: 10.7% FF42% · 96 mphprimary pitch FF 42%ST 18%SI 17%SL 12%CH 11% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Morales, Luis · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 42% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 96.3 mphFF96 mphSweeper: 18% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 47″ drop, 80.7 mphST81 mphSinker: 17% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 96.5 mphSI97 mphSlider: 12% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 84.5 mphSL85 mphChangeup: 11% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 89.2 mphCH89 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 40.6% 86 97 limited sample
SL 29.7% 63 100 limited sample
SI 17.5% 37 88 limited sample
CH 12.3% 26 76 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age23
Height6' 3"
Weight200 lb
Debut2025-08-01
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching72026-04-044-Seam Fastball played up through CH/ST tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-04-04 vs HOU5 ER / 0 K3.0 IP
2026-03-29 @ TOR5 ER / 5 K4.1 IP