Mithrandir Metrics
PHI 2026-09-11 Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-11

Edmundo Sosa

PHI · Hitter · bats R · age 30
IN · 7 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupPHI vs ATLChris Sale
Sample1459.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.060, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.063, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.062, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 56.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 56.3% Market 73.3% Gap +13.7pp
FanDuel 190 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 16.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 16.1% Market -- Gap +2.9pp
FanDuel 440 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
62 +24 vs proj
Exit velocity87.6
47
Hard-hit%39.8%
56 +19 vs proj
xBA0.362
89
xSLG0.580
76
xwOBA0.330
77 +29 vs proj
BB%2.8%
3
Bat speed71.2
73
K%21.0%
61 +16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.1 · LF
25
Arm Strength84.8 · LF
3
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
81
Range Runs2.8 · LF
77
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts12.0 · LF
68
Sprint Speed28.6 · LF
82
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 47.2%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.5%
Small sample
Correct Decisions56.9%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.305
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.300 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.350
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.317
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline81
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.244 to 0.345
RegressionNegative · -0.003
Opposing pitcherChris Sale
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-11
Palantir 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Valinor 13965 props Brier 0.113 ECE 0.003 14d stable
Palantir 1750 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1246 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable
Palantir 9432 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.046 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 756 props Brier 0.167 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 986 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.054 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)