Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-09-11 · saved artifact ROWS 69 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-11

Palantir 756 props Brier 0.167 ECE 0.038 14d error rising

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs CIN	P 3.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.8%Under prob · Palantir	25.6%no-vig	+96.81%	1+ Hitline	0.357count	96.8%selected	1.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
02	Andrew VaughnMIL	MIL vs CIN	P 3.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.9%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+96.93%	1+ Hitline	0.351count	96.9%selected	1.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
03	Michael MasseyKC	KC vs BOS	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.285count	98.0%selected	1.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
04	Sean MurphyATL	ATL vs PHI	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	44.4%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.221count	98.0%selected	1.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
05	Jake McCarthyCOL	COL vs DET	P 6.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	93.2%Under prob · Palantir	26.3%no-vig	+93.19%	1+ Hitline	0.522count	93.2%selected	2.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
06	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs LAA	P 12.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.0%Under prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	+88.02%	1+ Hitline	0.648count	88.0%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
07	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs ATL	P 9.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.1%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+90.06%	1+ Hitline	0.585count	90.1%selected	2.95role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
08	Oneil CruzPIT	PIT vs CHC	P 9.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.5%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+90.50%	1+ Hitline	0.571count	90.5%selected	2.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
09	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs BAL	P 14.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.9%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+85.90%	2+ Hitsline	0.709count	85.9%selected	3.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
10	Nathan LukesTOR	TOR vs BAL	P 16.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.2%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+83.21%	2+ Hitsline	0.766count	83.2%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
11	Will SmithLAD	LAD vs MIA	P 19.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.6%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+80.56%	2+ Hitsline	0.835count	80.6%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
12	James WoodWSH	WSH vs LAA	P 21.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.9%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+78.90%	2+ Hitsline	0.877count	78.9%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
13	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs KC	P 20.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.9%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+79.86%	2+ Hitsline	0.853count	79.9%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
14	Roman AnthonyBOS	BOS vs KC	P 24.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.6%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+75.57%	2+ Hitsline	0.958count	75.6%selected	4.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
15	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs KC	P 14.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.9%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+85.87%	1+ Hitline	0.71count	85.9%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
16	Hunter GoodmanCOL	COL vs DET	P 18.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.9%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+81.92%	1+ Hitline	0.8count	81.9%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
17	Max MuncyLAD	LAD vs MIA	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.7%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+82.71%	2+ Hitsline	0.779count	82.7%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
18	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs PHI	P 22.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.9%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+77.93%	2+ Hitsline	0.901count	77.9%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
19	Ezequiel TovarCOL	COL vs DET	P 22.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	22.6%Over prob · Palantir	56.5%no-vig	+77.37%	1+ Hitline	0.915count	22.6%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
20	Bobby Witt Jr.KC	KC vs BOS	P 29.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.3%Under prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+70.35%	2+ Hitsline	1.081count	70.3%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
21	Colton CowserBAL	BAL vs TOR	P 11.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.0%Under prob · Palantir	42.6%no-vig	+88.98%	1+ Hitline	0.619count	89.0%selected	3.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 490 avg 1 books
22	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs MIL	P 15.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.8%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+84.83%	1+ Hitline	0.722count	84.8%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
23	Salvador PerezKC	KC vs BOS	P 20.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.9%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+79.90%	2+ Hitsline	0.852count	79.9%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
24	Mike TroutLAA	LAA vs WSH	P 18.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.5%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+81.46%	2+ Hitsline	0.812count	81.5%selected	3.99role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
25	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs PHI	P 25.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+75.00%	2+ Hitsline	0.972count	75.0%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
26	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs MIL	P 14.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+85.51%	1+ Hitline	0.703count	85.5%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
27	Juan SotoNYM	NYM vs NYY	P 22.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.5%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+77.47%	2+ Hitsline	0.907count	77.5%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
28	Mark VientosNYM	NYM vs NYY	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.4%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+83.38%	2+ Hitsline	0.762count	83.4%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
29	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs ATL	P 13.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.2%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+86.19%	1+ Hitline	0.684count	86.2%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
30	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs PHI	P 24.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.8%Over prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+75.23%	1+ Hitline	0.967count	24.8%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
31	Isaac CollinsKC	KC vs BOS	P 13.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	81.1%no-vig	+86.43%	2+ Hitsline	0.694count	86.4%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
32	Pete AlonsoBAL	BAL vs TOR	P 21.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.2%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+78.23%	2+ Hitsline	0.894count	78.2%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
33	Vinnie PasquantinoKC	KC vs BOS	P 21.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.7%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+78.69%	2+ Hitsline	0.882count	78.7%selected	4.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
34	Mookie BettsLAD	LAD vs MIA	P 27.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.6%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+72.61%	2+ Hitsline	1.029count	72.6%selected	4.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
35	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs CHC	P 12.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.5%Under prob · Palantir	82.8%no-vig	+87.47%	2+ Hitsline	0.664count	87.5%selected	3.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
36	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs ATL	P 29.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	29.5%Over prob · Palantir	25.0%no-vig	+70.47%	2+ Hitsline	1.079count	29.5%selected	4.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
37	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs LAA	P 15.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.3%Under prob · Palantir	80.0%no-vig	+84.34%	2+ Hitsline	0.751count	84.3%selected	3.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
38	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs NYY	P 25.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.9%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+74.90%	2+ Hitsline	0.971count	74.9%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
39	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs PHI	P 24.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	24.1%Over prob · Palantir	20.0%no-vig	+75.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.951count	24.1%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
40	Yordan AlvarezHOU	HOU vs TB	P 25.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.6%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+74.62%	2+ Hitsline	0.981count	74.6%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
41	Jose AltuveHOU	HOU vs TB	P 27.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	27.4%Over prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+72.64%	1+ Hitline	1.028count	27.4%selected	4.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
42	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs CHC	P 21.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.8%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+78.81%	2+ Hitsline	0.879count	78.8%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
43	Yainer DiazHOU	HOU vs TB	P 19.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.5%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+80.54%	2+ Hitsline	0.835count	80.5%selected	3.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
44	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs NYY	P 28.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.5%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+71.45%	2+ Hitsline	1.056count	71.5%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
45	Freddie FreemanLAD	LAD vs MIA	P 39.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	39.4%Over prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+60.59%	2+ Hitsline	1.314count	39.4%selected	4.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
46	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs CIN	P 30.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	30.5%Over prob · Palantir	27.0%no-vig	+69.51%	2+ Hitsline	1.102count	30.5%selected	4.65role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
47	Jordan BeckCOL	COL vs DET	P 13.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.5%Under prob · Palantir	83.3%no-vig	+86.54%	2+ Hitsline	0.691count	86.5%selected	3.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
48	Edmundo SosaPHI	PHI vs ATL	P 16.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.9%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+83.92%	1+ Hitline	0.747count	83.9%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
49	Isaac ParedesHOU	HOU vs TB	P 18.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.9%Under prob · Palantir	79.2%no-vig	+81.91%	2+ Hitsline	0.8count	81.9%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
50	Luis ArraezSF	SF vs SD	P 30.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.4%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+69.60%	1+ Hitline	1.099count	30.4%selected	4.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
51	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs ATL	P 18.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.8%Under prob · Palantir	79.2%no-vig	+81.78%	2+ Hitsline	0.804count	81.8%selected	3.85role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
52	Zach NetoLAA	LAA vs WSH	P 23.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.3%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+76.26%	2+ Hitsline	0.942count	76.3%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
53	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs KC	P 30.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.2%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+69.18%	2+ Hitsline	1.11count	69.2%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
54	Leody TaverasBAL	BAL vs TOR	P 15.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.8%Under prob · Palantir	82.5%no-vig	+84.79%	2+ Hitsline	0.739count	84.8%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 470 avg 1 books
55	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs PHI	P 28.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.0%Over prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+72.00%	1+ Hitline	1.042count	28.0%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
56	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs MIL	P 13.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	84.6%no-vig	+86.35%	2+ Hitsline	0.696count	86.4%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
57	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs CIN	P 21.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+78.47%	2+ Hitsline	0.888count	78.5%selected	4.03role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
58	Daulton VarshoTOR	TOR vs BAL	P 18.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.7%Under prob · Palantir	80.0%no-vig	+81.66%	2+ Hitsline	0.807count	81.7%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
59	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs NYY	P 19.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.8%Under prob · Palantir	79.2%no-vig	+80.76%	2+ Hitsline	0.83count	80.8%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
60	Kyle TuckerLAD	LAD vs MIA	P 28.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.4%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+71.57%	1+ Hitline	1.052count	28.4%selected	4.71role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
61	Josh LoweLAA	LAA vs WSH	P 15.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	15.8%Over prob · Palantir	56.5%no-vig	+84.22%	1+ Hitline	0.754count	15.8%selected	3.38role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
62	Christian WalkerHOU	HOU vs TB	P 20.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	20.6%Over prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+79.35%	1+ Hitline	0.866count	20.6%selected	4.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
63	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs BAL	P 31.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	31.7%Over prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+68.34%	1+ Hitline	1.128count	31.7%selected	4.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
64	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs PHI	P 16.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	16.4%Over prob · Palantir	55.6%no-vig	+83.59%	1+ Hitline	0.756count	16.4%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
65	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs ATL	P 24.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	24.3%Over prob · Palantir	23.3%no-vig	+75.73%	2+ Hitsline	0.951count	24.3%selected	4.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
66	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs ATL	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.2%Over prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+75.75%	1+ Hitline	0.954count	24.2%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
67	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs MIL	P 27.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	27.7%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+72.34%	1+ Hitline	1.034count	27.7%selected	4.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
68	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs LAA	P 25.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.0%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+74.95%	2+ Hitsline	0.973count	75.0%selected	4.33role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
69	Gunnar HendersonBAL	BAL vs TOR	P 28.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	28.1%Over prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	+71.92%	2+ Hitsline	1.044count	28.1%selected	4.76role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books