Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-09-08 Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-08

Gleyber Torres

DET · Hitter · bats R · age 30
IN · 2 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs MINDean Kremer
Sample4132.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 19 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.060, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.063, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.062, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 56.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 67.0% Market 68.2% Gap +12.1pp
BetMGM -215 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 18.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 18.1% Market -- Gap +7.6pp
FanDuel 300 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.4%
44
Exit velocity86.6
35
Hard-hit%34.1%
30 -25 vs proj
xBA0.327
60
xSLG0.480
43
xwOBA0.325
73
BB%13.0%
91 +20 vs proj
Bat speed66.7
18
K%19.7%
68
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 2B
57
Arm Strength81.6 · 2B
7
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 2B
72
Range Runs-1.0 · 2B
44
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-4.2 · 2B
2
Sprint Speed25.3 · 2B
8
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.3%
94
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1%
72
Correct Decisions71.7%
92
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
93

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.306 to 0.396
RegressionNegative · -0.034
Opposing pitcherDean Kremer
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-11
Palantir 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Valinor 13965 props Brier 0.113 ECE 0.003 14d stable
Palantir 1750 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1246 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable
Palantir 9432 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.046 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 756 props Brier 0.167 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 986 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.054 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)