Mithrandir Metrics
Palantir 2026-09-08 Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Hits

Hits · Palantir.

Contact volume, lineup status, and market context for hitter hit props.

Rows
70
Date
2026-09-08
Lane
Palantir
HITS 2026-09-08 · saved artifact ROWS 70 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist
Model-market gaps are provisional This market's model lanes don't yet have enough graded results to validate the gaps. Treat them as early model signals, not established advantages.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.062, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Lane Health 2026-09-11
Palantir 756 props Brier 0.167 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Hits board
#PlayerMatchupThree lanesLineModelMarketGap PropHits projLine probPARecentPitch mix Best line
01
MIA vs NYM
P 98.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
98.0%Under prob · Palantir 33.9%no-vig +100.00% 1+ Hitline0.174count98.0%selected0.86role--form--fit FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
02
STL vs SF
P 98.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
98.0%Under prob · Palantir 28.6%no-vig +100.00% 1+ Hitline0.236count98.0%selected1.19role--form--fit FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
03
MIL vs CHC
P 3.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
96.7%Under prob · Palantir 24.4%no-vig +96.68% 1+ Hitline0.365count96.7%selected1.59role--form--fit FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
04
MIA vs NYM
P 98.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
98.0%Under prob · Palantir 35.7%no-vig +100.00% 1+ Hitline0.243count98.0%selected1.19role--form--fit FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
05
DET vs MIN
P 98.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
98.0%Under prob · Palantir 41.7%no-vig +100.00% 1+ Hitline0.184count98.0%selected0.79role--form--fit FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
06
KC vs AZ
P 98.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
98.0%Under prob · Palantir 32.3%no-vig +100.00% 1+ Hitline0.279count98.0%selected1.32role--form--fit FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
07
ATL vs TB
P 98.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
98.0%Under prob · Palantir 40.8%no-vig +100.00% 1+ Hitline0.198count98.0%selected1.32role--form--fit FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
08
MIL vs CHC
P 3.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
96.8%Under prob · Palantir 32.3%no-vig +96.80% 1+ Hitline0.358count96.8%selected1.56role--form--fit FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
09
TB vs ATL
P 98.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
98.0%Under prob · Palantir 42.6%no-vig +100.00% 1+ Hitline0.223count98.0%selected1.23role--form--fit FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
10
ATL vs TB
P 98.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
98.0%Under prob · Palantir 43.5%no-vig +100.00% 1+ Hitline0.241count98.0%selected1.34role--form--fit FanDuel 490 avg 1 books
11
CHC vs MIL
P 2.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
97.4%Under prob · Palantir 39.2%no-vig +97.43% 1+ Hitline0.321count97.4%selected1.6role--form--fit FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
12
COL vs NYY
P 98.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
98.0%Under prob · Palantir 39.2%no-vig +100.00% 1+ Hitline0.306count98.0%selected1.46role--form--fit FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
13
MIA vs NYM
P 16.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
83.4%Under prob · Palantir 66.7%no-vig +83.41% 2+ Hitsline0.776count83.4%selected3.49role--form--fit FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
14
AZ vs KC
P 16.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
83.2%Under prob · Palantir 66.7%no-vig +83.24% 2+ Hitsline0.78count83.2%selected3.12role--form--fit FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
15
ATL vs TB
P 18.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
81.6%Under prob · Palantir 65.5%no-vig +81.57% 2+ Hitsline0.809count81.6%selected3.84role--form--fit FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
16
DET vs MIN
P 19.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
80.8%Under prob · Palantir 65.5%no-vig +80.75% 2+ Hitsline0.83count80.8%selected3.84role--form--fit FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
17
COL vs NYY
P 13.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
87.0%Under prob · Palantir 73.0%no-vig +87.01% 2+ Hitsline0.677count87.0%selected3.27role--form--fit FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
18
KC vs AZ
P 28.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
71.3%Under prob · Palantir 57.4%no-vig +71.30% 2+ Hitsline1.059count71.3%selected4.41role--form--fit FanDuel 135 avg 1 books
19
DET vs MIN
P 14.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
85.8%Under prob · Palantir 72.2%no-vig +85.82% 2+ Hitsline0.711count85.8%selected3.2role--form--fit FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
20
TB vs ATL
P 19.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
80.4%Under prob · Palantir 67.7%no-vig +80.39% 2+ Hitsline0.839count80.4%selected3.86role--form--fit FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
21
ATL vs TB
P 20.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
79.1%Under prob · Palantir 68.8%no-vig +79.06% 2+ Hitsline0.873count79.1%selected4.05role--form--fit FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
22
PIT vs CWS
P 12.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
87.6%Under prob · Palantir 77.8%no-vig +87.60% 2+ Hitsline0.66count87.6%selected3.31role--form--fit FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
23
CHC vs MIL
P 12.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
87.1%Under prob · Palantir 39.2%no-vig +87.07% 1+ Hitline0.659count87.1%selected3.5role--form--fit FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
24
KC vs AZ
P 19.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
80.6%Under prob · Palantir 71.4%no-vig +80.59% 2+ Hitsline0.834count80.6%selected4.14role--form--fit FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
25
AZ vs KC
P 21.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
78.4%Under prob · Palantir 70.6%no-vig +78.38% 2+ Hitsline0.89count78.4%selected3.8role--form--fit FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
26
NYM vs MIA
P 12.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
87.3%Under prob · Palantir 39.2%no-vig +87.33% 1+ Hitline0.668count87.3%selected3.19role--form--fit FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
27
DET vs MIN
P 18.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
81.9%Under prob · Palantir 33.3%no-vig +81.92% 1+ Hitline0.8count81.9%selected3.56role--form--fit FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
28
KC vs AZ
P 20.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
79.4%Under prob · Palantir 72.2%no-vig +79.41% 2+ Hitsline0.864count79.4%selected4.31role--form--fit FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
29
TB vs ATL
P 23.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
76.4%Under prob · Palantir 69.7%no-vig +76.41% 2+ Hitsline0.938count76.4%selected3.92role--form--fit FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
30
CHC vs MIL
P 29.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 1.5
2 of 2
29.9%Over prob · Palantir 23.8%no-vig +70.09% 2+ Hitsline1.088count29.9%selected4.66role--form--fit FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
31
COL vs NYY
P 15.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
85.0%Under prob · Palantir 39.2%no-vig +84.98% 1+ Hitline0.718count85.0%selected3.61role--form--fit FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
32
TB vs ATL
P 15.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
84.8%Under prob · Palantir 39.2%no-vig +84.81% 1+ Hitline0.723count84.8%selected3.89role--form--fit FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
33
NYM vs MIA
P 30.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
69.2%Under prob · Palantir 63.6%no-vig +69.23% 2+ Hitsline1.107count69.2%selected4.29role--form--fit FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
34
PHI vs HOU
P 18.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
81.2%Under prob · Palantir 35.7%no-vig +81.23% 1+ Hitline0.811count81.2%selected4.67role--form--fit FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
35
COL vs NYY
P 20.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 0.5
1 of 2
20.4%Over prob · Palantir 56.5%no-vig +79.58% 1+ Hitline0.86count20.4%selected4.0role--form--fit FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
36
BAL vs CLE
P 21.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
78.2%Under prob · Palantir 73.0%no-vig +78.20% 2+ Hitsline0.894count78.2%selected4.47role--form--fit FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
37
CHC vs MIL
P 11.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
88.6%Under prob · Palantir 83.3%no-vig +88.56% 2+ Hitsline0.632count88.6%selected3.27role--form--fit FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
38
PIT vs CWS
P 28.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 0.5
1 of 2
28.2%Over prob · Palantir 65.5%no-vig +71.75% 1+ Hitline1.049count28.2%selected3.91role--form--fit FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
39
PHI vs HOU
P 20.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
79.8%Under prob · Palantir 75.0%no-vig +79.85% 2+ Hitsline0.853count79.8%selected3.78role--form--fit FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
40
PHI vs HOU
P 31.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 1.5
2 of 2
31.6%Over prob · Palantir 27.0%no-vig +68.39% 2+ Hitsline1.129count31.6%selected4.74role--form--fit FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
41
PIT vs CWS
P 20.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
79.9%Under prob · Palantir 75.6%no-vig +79.94% 2+ Hitsline0.851count79.9%selected3.98role--form--fit FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
42
ATL vs TB
P 20.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
79.2%Under prob · Palantir 75.0%no-vig +79.25% 2+ Hitsline0.868count79.2%selected4.41role--form--fit FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
43
PHI vs HOU
P 33.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 1.5
2 of 2
33.6%Over prob · Palantir 29.4%no-vig +66.38% 2+ Hitsline1.176count33.6%selected4.67role--form--fit FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
44
PIT vs CWS
P 22.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
77.9%Under prob · Palantir 73.7%no-vig +77.86% 2+ Hitsline0.903count77.9%selected4.1role--form--fit FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
45
AZ vs KC
P 27.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
72.9%Under prob · Palantir 68.8%no-vig +72.89% 2+ Hitsline1.02count72.9%selected4.59role--form--fit FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
46
MIL vs CHC
P 26.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 0.5
1 of 2
26.0%Over prob · Palantir 64.3%no-vig +74.04% 1+ Hitline0.995count26.0%selected4.31role--form--fit FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
47
MIL vs CHC
P 31.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 1.5
2 of 2
31.4%Over prob · Palantir 27.8%no-vig +68.56% 2+ Hitsline1.125count31.4%selected4.65role--form--fit FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
48
NYM vs MIA
P 14.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
85.3%Under prob · Palantir 81.8%no-vig +85.27% 2+ Hitsline0.726count85.3%selected3.49role--form--fit FanDuel 450 avg 1 books
49
ATL vs TB
P 23.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
76.3%Under prob · Palantir 32.3%no-vig +76.34% 1+ Hitline0.936count76.3%selected4.74role--form--fit FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
50
MIA vs NYM
P 13.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
86.1%Under prob · Palantir 83.3%no-vig +86.13% 2+ Hitsline0.702count86.1%selected3.42role--form--fit FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
51
DET vs MIN
P 16.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 0.5
1 of 2
83.8%Under prob · Palantir 40.8%no-vig +83.82% 1+ Hitline0.75count83.8%selected4.04role--form--fit FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
52
ATL vs TB
P 20.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 0.5
1 of 2
20.2%Over prob · Palantir 59.2%no-vig +79.80% 1+ Hitline0.854count20.2%selected4.24role--form--fit FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
53
NYM vs MIA
P 27.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
72.2%Under prob · Palantir 69.7%no-vig +72.20% 2+ Hitsline1.037count72.2%selected4.79role--form--fit FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
54
BAL vs CLE
P 28.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 1.5
2 of 2
28.1%Over prob · Palantir 25.6%no-vig +71.88% 2+ Hitsline1.045count28.1%selected4.76role--form--fit FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
55
CLE vs BAL
P 31.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 0.5
1 of 2
31.1%Over prob · Palantir 70.6%no-vig +68.86% 1+ Hitline1.116count31.1%selected4.47role--form--fit FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
56
NYM vs MIA
P 28.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
71.1%Under prob · Palantir 68.8%no-vig +71.10% 2+ Hitsline1.064count71.1%selected4.69role--form--fit FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
57
DET vs MIN
P 24.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 0.5
1 of 2
24.8%Over prob · Palantir 64.9%no-vig +75.16% 1+ Hitline0.968count24.8%selected4.3role--form--fit FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
58
AZ vs KC
P 30.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
69.8%Under prob · Palantir 67.7%no-vig +69.79% 2+ Hitsline1.095count69.8%selected4.89role--form--fit FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
59
CHC vs MIL
P 17.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 0.5
1 of 2
17.0%Over prob · Palantir 55.6%no-vig +82.98% 1+ Hitline0.772count17.0%selected4.25role--form--fit FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
60
PIT vs CWS
P 17.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
82.7%Under prob · Palantir 80.8%no-vig +82.65% 2+ Hitsline0.795count82.7%selected3.48role--form--fit FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
61
PHI vs HOU
P 22.5
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 0.5
1 of 2
22.5%Over prob · Palantir 63.0%no-vig +77.48% 1+ Hitline0.912count22.5%selected3.87role--form--fit FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
62
BAL vs CLE
P 11.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
89.0%Under prob · Palantir 87.5%no-vig +88.96% 2+ Hitsline0.62count89.0%selected3.48role--form--fit FanDuel 700 avg 1 books
63
NYM vs MIA
P 20.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
79.1%Under prob · Palantir 77.8%no-vig +79.11% 2+ Hitsline0.872count79.1%selected4.21role--form--fit FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
64
TB vs ATL
P 32.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
67.9%Under prob · Palantir 66.7%no-vig +67.91% 2+ Hitsline1.138count67.9%selected4.36role--form--fit FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
65
MIA vs NYM
P 18.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
81.4%Under prob · Palantir 80.4%no-vig +81.36% 2+ Hitsline0.814count81.4%selected3.68role--form--fit FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
66
PHI vs HOU
P 20.5
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 1.5
2 of 2
20.5%Over prob · Palantir 19.6%no-vig +79.51% 2+ Hitsline0.862count20.5%selected3.63role--form--fit FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
67
AZ vs KC
P 31.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
68.6%Under prob · Palantir 67.7%no-vig +68.58% 2+ Hitsline1.124count68.6%selected4.66role--form--fit FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
68
CHC vs MIL
P 21.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Over 0.5
1 of 2
21.2%Over prob · Palantir 62.3%no-vig +78.77% 1+ Hitline0.88count21.2%selected4.26role--form--fit FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
69
PHI vs HOU
P 27.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
72.1%Under prob · Palantir 71.4%no-vig +72.12% 2+ Hitsline1.04count72.1%selected4.21role--form--fit FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
70
MIL vs CHC
P 22.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Under 1.5
2 of 2
77.7%Under prob · Palantir 77.3%no-vig +77.73% 2+ Hitsline0.906count77.7%selected4.03role--form--fit FanDuel 340 avg 1 books