Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-05-19 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-19

Kyle Tucker

LAD · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupLAD vs SDGriffin Canning
Sample2907.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 20 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 15.2
F 15.7
V 15.9
Model 20.1% Market 18.1% Gap +1.2pp
FanDuel 430 tracking Open board
Total Bases 3.5
P 47.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 47.4% Market 46.2% Gap -2.9pp
FanDuel 490 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
41 -33 vs proj
Exit velocity89.3
56
Hard-hit%41.0%
51
xBA0.328
53
xSLG0.503
46
xwOBA0.335
68 -20 vs proj
BB%12.7%
83
Bat speed68.7
36
K%18.9%
67
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.3 · RF
93
Arm Strength90.3 · RF
31
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
7
Range Runs-1.7 · RF
20
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · RF
50
Sprint Speed26.2 · RF
24
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.4%
92
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.2%
92
Correct Decisions75.1%
98
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
98

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.329 to 0.419
RegressionNegative · -0.046
Opposing pitcherGriffin Canning
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)